Your Quick Guide to Betting Friday Night: Virginia-Miami, NLCS Game 1, More
Scott Olmos-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Oregon Ducks mascot
Listen, it’s Friday night and you’ve got shit to do. So consider this your quick-and-dirty look at how to bet a nice slate of college football and MLB playoff games.
Below, we’ll run through the following games. All odds and data as of 3:45 p.m ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).
- NCAAF: Virginia at Miami (FL), 8 p.m. ET
- NCAAF: Colorado State at New Mexico, 8 p.m. ET
- MLB: Nationals at Cardinals, 8:08 p.m. ET
- NCAAF: Colorado at Oregon, 10 p.m. ET
NCAAF: Virginia vs. Miami Odds
- Spread: Miami -2.5
- Over/Under: 43.5
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN
UVA’s offensive line has major issues, which the Miami defensive front (the strongest unit on the team) can certainly exploit.
The Hoos rank outside the top 100 in almost every significant category, and they’ll be facing a Miami defense that excels at getting into opposing backfields.
How will either consistently move the ball through the air? I’m not sure. Plus, these are also two top 10 run defenses.
Unless we see a bunch of turnovers and/or special teams scores, I fancy this Under 45 in what should be a hotly contested defensive battle. — Stuckey
Our Experts’ Picks for UVA-Miami
- Stuckey: Under 45
- Collin Wilson: Miami moneyline (-120)
- Danny Donahue: Miami moneyline (-121)
- Sean Zerillo: Miami -2
- Jason Sobel: Miami -2.5
- Kyle Miller: Virginia +1
- Adon S.: Virginia +1
NCAAF: Colorado State at New Mexico Odds
- Spread: Colorado State -4
- Over/Under: 65.5
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
The one thing that Colorado State does have going for it is the passing game, led by quarterback Patrick O’Brien. The junior took over signal-calling duties after the Arkansas game and has inspired an explosive passing attack, even ranking inside the top-10 in the number of passes over 40 yards.
That’s a recipe for success against New Mexico, which ranks 129th in preventing passes over 20 yards.
The Action Network Projections make this spread Colorado State -7, so there’s value on the Rams going against a team that has covered just once in its last 10 home games. — Collin Wilson
Our Experts’ Picks for Colorado State-New Mexico
- Collin Wilson: Colorado State -3 and Under 56.5
- Adon S.: Colorado State -3
MLB: Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds
Probable starters: Anibal Sanchez (11-8 3.85 ERA) vs. Miles Mikolas (9-14 4.16 ERA)
- Nationals odds: +100
- Cardinals odds: -120
- Over/Under: 8
- First pitch: 8:08 p.m. ET on TBS
The Nationals won’t have their three aces available for Game 1 and will have to return to NLDS Game 3 starter, Anibal Sanchez.
Sanchez was masterful in that game, recording nine strikeouts over five innings, with 13 swinging strikes.
But I played the Cardinals moneyline for one unit at -115, an implied probability of 53.5%, and a gap of more than 3.5% in expected value between my projection and the listed odds.
I’m comfortable playing the Cardinals up to -125, particularly with the abundance of dominant trends for home teams at this stage of the playoffs. — Sean Zerillo
Our Experts’ Picks for Nationals-Cards
- Sean Zerillo: Cardinals full-game moneyline (-115) and First-5 moneyline (-109)
- Stuckey: Cardinals -127
Colorado vs. Oregon Odds
- Odds: Oregon -21
- Over/Under: 59.5
- Time: 10 p.m. ET
- TV: Fox Sports 1
I like Oregon -21 or better.
The Oregon defense is absolutely rolling. New coordinator Andy Avalos has this unit playing at a level we are not used to seeing in the Pac-12.
The Ducks have allowed one touchdown in four games since their opener against Auburn. They’re allowing 2.9 yards per rush (top 20) and 5.0 yards per pass (top 5).
And they’re one of only six teams to allow fewer than 4.0 yards per play overall.
This also sets up as a huge day for Oregon’s passing offense, which has been somewhat held back so far this season, primarily due to the fact that the defense has played so well. — Stuckey
Our Experts’ Picks for Colorado-Oregon
- Stuckey: Oregon -21
- Danny Donahue: Oregon -21
- Jason Sobel: Colorado +21
- Kyle Miller: Over 59