The New York Mets host the Los Angeles Dodgers on May 24, 2025. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 7:15 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FOX.
Find my MLB betting preview and Dodgers vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports, and more.
My Dodgers vs Mets Prediction
- Dodgers vs Mets picks: Over 8.5 (Play to 9)
My Dodgers vs Mets best bet is on the over. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Dodgers vs Mets Odds
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +150 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | -110 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -185 | 8.5 -120o / 100u | -110 |
Dodgers vs Mets Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Tony Gonsolin (LAD) | Stat | LHP David Peterson (NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | W-L | 2-2 |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 4.05/3.78 | ERA /xERA | 2.86/3.99 |
| 4.63/3.76 | FIP / xFIP | 3.55/3.55 |
| 1.30 | WHIP | 1.33 |
| 17.9 | K-BB% | 12.3 |
| 34.7 | GB% | 56.5 |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 90 |
| 96 | Location+ | 101 |
Doug Ziefel’s Dodgers vs Mets Preview
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: Look to Crush Another Lefty
It was a peculiar offensive night for the Dodgers in Game 1 of this series, as their lineup — particularly the top of their order — didn't sustain much success.
However, the Dodgers should have a much better showing on Saturday as they face Mets left-hander David Peterson.
The Dodgers' lineup is built to crush left-handed pitching, as many guys have drastic splits, such as Teoscar Hernandez, Will Smith and Tommy Edman. Notice how that trio doesn't even include the three stars at the top of the order?
Their depth against lefties is what makes them so dangerous, and Peterson is due for some regression. Overall, Peterson has been solid, holding a 2.86 ERA through nine starts, but he's allowed a great deal of hard contact.
Fortunately, most of it has been on the ground, as Peterson's ground-ball rate is at its highest ever. However, the Dodgers have the lowest ground-ball rate in baseball.
Once the Dodgers get to Peterson, the floodgates could open, as the Mets had to use every arm available from the bullpen in last night's game. Yes, the Mets' bullpen has been stellar, but who can succeed in back-to-back days remains to be seen.
New York Mets Betting Preview: Aim to Turn Bad Luck Into Runs
On the flip side of this matchup, the Mets appear to be allergic to hitting with runners in scoring position. They had so many opportunities to produce a walk-off win last night, but could not.
Yes, Juan Soto's struggles have been in the spotlight, but the bigger picture shows that he and the majority of the Mets' lineup have been severely unlucky. The Mets have the second-highest hard-hit rate in the majors, but they have just a team batting average of .244.
They frequently put the ball in play, and the majority of that contact is hard, which suggests major positive regression for this lineup. Their xBA of .267 clearly demonstrates that.
Tonight, they get to face Tony Gonsolin, who's shown different versions of himself through four starts.
Through his first three starts, he looked phenomenal, striking out hitters at a career-high rate, but in his last start, his command issues reappeared, leading to him allowing four earned runs in four innings.
Gonsolin's history shows that he's due to strike out fewer guys and produce more flyballs, which is indicative of the Mets' success against him on Saturday.
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction, Betting Analysis
Last night's game took a lot out of these clubs, as it dragged on late into the night. It was filled with high bullpen usage and offensive frustration.
However, those failed scoring opportunities should flip on Saturday as both lineups should have success against the starting pitchers.
Given the Mets' bullpen status, it's hard to see them containing the Dodgers in the late innings, which should lead this game to sail over the total.
Pick: Over 8.5
Moneyline
I lean towards the Dodgers on the moneyline as slight underdogs.
Run Line (Spread)
The Dodgers' run line could be in play if they open things up late against the Mets' bullpen.
Over/Under
I'm taking the over.
Dodgers vs Mets Parlay
- Over 8.5
- Tony Gonsolin Under 4.5 Strikeouts
Parlay odds: +225 (BetMGM)
Taking Gonsolin's under on his strikeouts correlates well with the over, as the Mets' high contact rates and Gonsolin's impending regression should lead to runs on the board in their half of the innings.
