The Toronto Blue Jays host the Los Angeles Dodgers on April 6, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet LA.
The Dodgers are favored by -143 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Blue Jays are +119 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Dodgers vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Dodgers vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Dodgers vs Blue Jays Picks: Justin Wrobleski Under 14.5 Outs (-101, DraftKings)
My Dodgers vs Blue Jays best bet is on Justin Wrobleski to record under 14.5 pitching outs. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Dodgers vs Blue Jays Odds
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +113 | 9 101o / -122u | -143 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -136 | 9 101o / -122u | +119 |
- Dodgers vs Blue Jays spread: -1.5 (+113), +1.5 (-136)
- Dodgers vs Blue Jays over/under: 9 (+101o / -122u)
- Dodgers vs Blue Jays moneyline: Dodgers -143, Blue Jays +119
Dodgers vs Blue Jays Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Justin Wrobleski (LAD) | Stat | RHP Max Scherzer (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 6.75/3.57 | ERA /xERA | 1.50/5.29 |
| 2.95/4.68 | FIP / xFIP | 4.53/4.67 |
| 1.25 | WHIP | 0.83 |
| 5.9% | K-BB% | 13.6% |
| 23.1% | GB% | 29.4% |
| 95 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 103 | Location+ | 106 |
Dodgers vs Blue Jays Preview
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
It's Justin Wrobleski on the mound for LA as they move into a sort of six-man rotation to limit the workload on Shohei Ohtani and others. This will be the lefty's first start and second appearance of the year. That first appearance was a 60-pitch "piggyback" of Roki Sasaki.
Last year, Wrobleski worked 66.2 innings for the Dodgers in a long relief or opener role, posting a 4.32 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP (with a pristine 2.89 SIERA, though). He threw three fastball variations (four-seam, sinker, and cutter) in addition to a slider.
The guy can pitch; this is no pushover spot for the Blue Jays. But the pitch count is likely to come in under 75, and there's an angle we take there. It seems like the books might be giving his length and/or efficiency a bit too much credit. Last year, it took Wrobleski 5.5 pitches on average to record an out. We can do some very simple math here.
Let's take a 75-pitch projection (which I think is high, mind you), and divide it by that 5.5. That would project 13.6 outs for Wrobleski. And that's in a neutral matchup.
And this isn't a neutral matchup. The Blue Jays are a tough offense, particularly in terms of plate discipline. They were one of the toughest offenses in the league last year to strike out, and they took their share of walks. It's not looking different this year. They have a team 19.3% K% (third lowest) and a 9.5% BB% (middle of the pack) so far this year. I think they're going to give Wrobleski some issues.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
It's the ageless Max Scherzer going for the Blue Jays. Actually, he's definitely not ageless, because time has taken its toll. He's thrown 91 innings in these last two seasons, and it's an ERA near five with a big old home run problem. He's given up 20 long balls in those innings. That's two homers per nine – a massive number.
I have an advanced model that looks at pitch movement and forms lists of "similar pitches" to each guy throwing that day. I then use that to see how every hitter performs against that larger group of pitchers. That gives us a "batter vs. pitcher" model that doesn't have the huge issue of the sample being tiny. The Dodgers light up that model most days, but today is no different, even against the bigger name Scherzer.
Ohtani, of course, leads the way. He has a ridiculous 24.4% Brl% and a 38% FB% against pitches that move like the ones he'll see from Scherzer. There are seven total Dodgers (out of nine) with a projected double-digit barrel rate in that model. They're going to hit some balls hard in the air tonight against Mad Max.
Dodgers vs Blue Jays Picks
I have been steering us toward two picks from this game. There are two ways to attack sports betting, in my opinion. First, just use strong projections and do price comparisons. If your model is better than what the sports book is using, you'll win over time. Second, just find a player that the public is wrong on and attack that angle.
My projection on Wrobleski's outs tonight is 13.0. That would turn into a "fair price" of -190 for a bet of under 14.5 outs. DraftKings is offering that at -101.
My "player attack" angle is a Scherzer fade of sorts. I'm not sure the books or the public realize quite how hittable Scherzer is. The guy can still get some strikeouts, and he's never had a walk problem.
But he's always been a fly-ball pitcher, and it's getting even worse now that he's allowing balls in play at a much higher rate.
You could also take Ohtani for a homer, but the home run lines are always garbage on the game's best players. I prefer to play the Dodgers' total home runs.
They're averaging 1.8 per game so far this year, and this is a spot where the home run projections are rightfully juiced up. I think the Dodgers clear this one before they even get to the Blue Jays bullpen.
Picks: Justin Wrobleski Under 14.5 Outs (-101, DraftKings) // Dodgers Over 1.5 Team Home Runs (-120)
