The Pittsburgh Pirates host the New York Mets on June 28, 2025. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on SportsNet PT.
Find my MLB betting preview and Mets vs Pirates prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports, and more.
My Mets vs Pirates Prediction
- Mets vs Pirates picks: Mets moneyline -150
My Mets vs Pirates best bet is the Mets moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Pirates Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +110 | 9 -110o / -110u | -150 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -135 | 9 -110o / -110u | +125 |
Mets vs Pirates Projected Starting Pitchers
| Paul Blackburn (NYM) | Stat | Bailey Falter (PIT) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | W-L | 6-3 |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.8 |
| 6.62/5.29 | ERA /xERA | 3.59/3.76 |
| 4.44/4.96 | FIP / xFIP | 4.38/4.85 |
| 1.75 | WHIP | 1.18 |
| 7.1 | K-BB% | 5.8 |
| 34.9 | GB% | 39.6 |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 107 | Location+ | 96 |
Mets vs Pirates Prediction, Betting Analysis
This MLB betting system focuses on regular-season conference matchups where a favorite is primed for a rebound after a narrow head-to-head loss (by 1 to 16 runs). Despite the recent setback, market confidence remains steady, with closing moneylines between -127 and -166 and moderate public backing (25% to 69.5%).
These favorites are also riding short losing streaks—ranging from 1 to 5 games—suggesting a temporary slump rather than a collapse. The setup leverages familiar conference environments, where teams are more motivated and better equipped to bounce back.
By targeting favorites that are undervalued due to recent underperformance, this strategy consistently finds betting value in spots where public perception lags behind the team's underlying strength.
Pick: Mets moneyline
Moneyline
Take the Mets' moneyline tonight against the Pirates.
Run Line (Spread)
There is no play on the run line.
Over/Under
There is no play on the total.
