The Los Angeles Dodgers (20-10) host the Miami Marlins (12-17) on Wednesday, April 30, 2025. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 3:10 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
Marlins vs Dodgers odds for Wednesday have the Dodgers as -325 moneyline favorites and Marlins as +260 underdogs. The over/under is 10 total runs. The Dodgers are -102 to cover the spread (-2.5); the Marlins are -118 to cover their side of the run line (+2.5).
Find my Marlins vs Dodgers prediction for Wednesday below.
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick for Wednesday
- Marlins vs Dodgers pick:Over 9.5 (FanDuel; play to -140)
My Marlins vs Dodgers best bet is the game total to go over 9.5. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Dodgers Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -118 | 10 +100o / -120u | +260 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -102 | 10 +100o / -120u | -325 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Tony Gonsolin (LAD) | Stat | RHP Cal Quantrill (MIA) |
|---|---|---|
| — (season debut) | W-L | 2-2 |
| — | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.1 |
| — | ERA /xERA | 7.83/6.45 |
| — | FIP / xFIP | 5.50/4.94 |
| — | WHIP | 1.78 |
| — | K-BB% | 1.4% |
| — | GB% | 40% |
| — | Stuff+ | 88 |
| — | Location+ | 91 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Preview, Prediction
Dodgers Betting Preview
It’s been over 18 months since Dodgers starter Tony Gonsolin took an MLB mound. The last time Gonsolin pitched for the Dodgers, he posted a 4.98 ERA in 20 starts.
In four minor-league rehab games in Triple-A, Gonsolin posted a 3.21 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP in 14 innings. The team's concern is Gonsolin’s lack of control, walking six batters in those innings. Some of that is expected after being on the shelf for so long, but it’ll need to be corrected eventually.
Reasonably, Gonsolin will endure some ups and downs as he acclimates to facing MLB hitters again. The Dodgers will be patient, as Blake Snell and Tyler Glasnow are on the injured list. That'll make Gonsolin an integral part of the Dodgers' rotation in the short term.
The Dodgers' offense is top 10 in wRC+ since April 1st, but it still feels like they aren’t maximizing their potential.
Andy Pages is actually the best Dodgers hitter during April, posting a 164 wRC+. Trailing behind are Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez. The shocker is Mookie Betts hitting .207 for an entire month. That’s totally unlike him, and an even bigger deal when the bottom of the order is struggling.
Bordering on being a top-10 offense is the absolute floor for the Dodgers. It won't get worse and will get a whole lot better. Facing possibly the worst pitcher in MLB this year won't hurt the cause.
Marlins Betting Preview
Cal Quantrill is that Pitcher. He enters this start with a disastrous 7.83 ERA with a 6.45 xERA in five starts. He hasn't gone a full six innings in any of his outings and he allowed 3+ runs in four of the five.
Nothing in Quantrill's profile gives you hope for a potential turnaround. He has a 5.09 K/9, 3.52 BB/9 and 1.52 HR/9. It's pretty rare to be terrible in all three categories, but Quantrill is the exception.
He's also an extreme fly-ball pitcher, with just 52% of his outs being accounted for by grounders and strikeouts. That means Quantrill, who ranks in the fifth percentile in average exit velocity, allows fly balls 48% of the time.
The Marlins have the fewest "household names" of any lineup in baseball. That doesn't mean Miami can't hit, though.
Since April 10, the Marlins are 14th in MLB with a 104 wRC+. They should put pressure on Gonsolin with their solid 20% strikeout rate in that span. He'll have to navigate past hitters to find out, as generating swings and misses won't be easy.
We'll see how long it takes for MLB pitchers to adjust and find the holes in Agustin Ramirez's game, but he's been special. He's only been in the bigs for a week, and he has a 273 wRC+ with an OPS over 1.400.
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction, Betting Analysis
I don't trust either pitcher.
Gonsolin will likely have a shorter leash, given the layoff from his last intense outing, and I already discussed Quantrill's shortcomings. The Dodgers should put up some runs on Quantrill before attacking a porous Miami bullpen, so the total sitting at 9.5 feels a tad low.
I don't love the moneyline or run line, as the number is just too big and weird things happen in baseball. For Miami to win, it needs to be a high-scoring game because holding the Dodgers down for nine innings is tough.
I expect some fireworks to come from this one in the afternoon in L.A.
Pick: Over 9.5 (play to -140)
Moneyline
I will not be betting on either side of the Moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I'm also staying away from Run Line for this matchup.
Over/Under
As mentioned above, I'm expecting a high-scoring game, so I suggest going with Over 9.5.
Marlins vs Dodgers Betting Trends
Dodgers vs Marlins Viewing Info: Channel, Start Time, Streaming
| Location: | Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, Calif. |
| Date: | Wednesday, April 30 |
| Time: | 3:10 p.m. ET |
| TV / Streaming Options: | MLB Network |
