The Tampa Bay Rays host the Miami Marlins on May 15, 2026. First pitch from Target Field is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on RAYS.
The Rays are favored by -125 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Marlins are +105 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Marlins vs Rays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Marlins vs Rays Prediction
- Marlins vs Rays Pick: Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits (+185, betMGM)
My Marlins vs Rays best bet is on Simpson to record 2+ hits. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Rays Odds
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +170 | 8 -105o / -115u | +105 |
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -200 | 8 -105o / -115u | -125 |
- Marlins vs Rays moneyline: Marlins +105, Rays -125
- Marlins vs Rays over/under: 8 (-105o / -115u)
- Marlins vs Rays spread: Rays -1.5 (+170 ), Marlins +1.5 (-200)
Marlins vs Rays Probable Pitchers
| Janson Junk | Stat | Jesse Scholtens |
|---|---|---|
| 20-24 | W-L | 28-14 |
| 0.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0 |
| 3.25 / 3.87 | ERA / xERA | 3.29 / 4.22 |
| 3.54 / 3.92 | FIP / xFIP | 4.90 / 4.64 |
| 12.7 | K-BB% | 9.6 |
| 46.6 | GB% | 40.7 |
| .263 | BABIP | .234 |
| 101 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 111 | Location+ | 103 |
Marlins vs Rays MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects Rays outfielder Chandler Simpson for 1.63 hits in this matchup, giving us a strong 13.3% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 1.5, which is good enough to tag the Over with an B+ grade in our system.
Marlins vs Rays Pick, Betting Analysis
Simpson has already recorded 49 hits on the season and continues to emerge as one of the most intriguing contact bats in Tampa Bay’s lineup. While clearing a 1.5 hits prop is never easy, his recent form and consistent ability to put the ball in play make this line very attainable.
Over his last five games, Simpson has gone over this number twice, recording outings with three and two hits. The larger sample is still encouraging as well, with the Rays youngster clearing this line in four of his last 10 games.
Simpson continues to generate buzz with the way he’s swinging the bat lately, and PRO projects enough value here to back another multi-hit performance.
Pick: Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits (+185, betMGM)
