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Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick, Odds for NLCS Game 4 on Friday, October 17

Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction, Pick, Odds for NLCS Game 4 on Friday, October 17 article feature image
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Pictured: Shohei Ohtani. (Credit: Eric Hartline-Imagn Images)

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Milwaukee Brewers on October 17, 2025. First pitch from Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 8:38 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on truTV.

Find my MLB betting preview and Brewers vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.


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My Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction

  • Brewers vs Dodgers pick: Dodgers -1.5 (play to -110)

My Brewers vs Dodgers best bet is on Los Angeles to cover the run line. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Brewers vs Dodgers Odds

Brewers Logo
Friday, Oct 17
8:38 p.m. ET
truTV
Dodgers Logo
Brewers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-130
8
-105o / -115u
+165
Dodgers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+110
8
-105o / -115u
-200
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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Brewers vs Dodgers Projected Starting Pitchers

TBD (MIL)StatRHP Shohei Ohtani (LAD)
W-L1-1
fWAR (FanGraphs)1.9
ERA /xERA2.87/2.45
FIP / xFIP1.90/2.45
WHIP1.04
K-BB%28.2%
GB%41.4%
Stuff+119
Location+99

Sean Paul’s Brewers vs Dodgers Preview

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Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview: Ohtani Looks to Seal the Sweep

Shohei Ohtani is back on the mound for his second career postseason start. And if what Blake Snell, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, and Tyler Glasnow did carries into Ohtani's outing, he could put together a gem.

Ohtani was brilliant on the mound in his first year since returning from an elbow injury. The flamethrower posted a 2.87 ERA with a 2.45 xERA and a 1.89 FIP. He also punched out 11.1 batters per nine and allowed only 0.72 HR/9. It's not much of a break for the Brewers to go from the first three starters to Shohei.

On paper, the Dodgers' offense isn't doing anything crazy. They scored nine runs in two games — and scored more than three runs once. All the games have been competitive enough, but if you take a closer look at the Dodgers' numbers, you'll notice much more lopsided numbers.

Los Angeles has a wRC+ better than 130 in this NLCS. The biggest difference from the Dodgers' lousy NLDS and the NLCS is its plate approach. In the first two games, the Dodgers had a 14% strikeout and walk rate, which is sure to drop after Jacob Misiorowski punched out nine Dodgers and they walked just three times.

Ohtani snapped his brutal stretch in the postseason with a first-inning triple on Thursday. Ohtani and Betts have done virtually nothing in the NLCS. With their struggles, the huge contributions from Enrique Hernandez, Teoscar Hernandez, and Tommy Edman have provided the Dodgers with enough of a boost to win the first three NLCS games.

The good news? The Miz isn't on the mound in the potential finale.


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Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview: Bats Must Wake Up to Survive

We also have no clue who'll be on the mound, which is an advantage for the Dodgers. This was the issue for the Brewers all year. Who is the guy behind Freddy Peralta? And their lack of a true number two has caught up to them.

Many thought Jose Quintana would assume the bulk role in Game 3, but he could do the same in Game 4– or Quinn Priester, who tossed four innings in Game 1. It'll be an all-hands-on-deck approach. The hands the Brewers have just aren't all that good.

Now, I'll implore Brewers fans to look away for the next few sentences. I don't want to be a total downer here. The Brewers have increased their hit total in each game! The issue? They began with two hits, then got three in Game 2 and four in Game 3. Milwaukee has created an identity by putting the ball in play, making pitchers work, and forcing defense to make quick decisions.

None of that is working against the Dodgers, as the Brewers allowed each of the Dodgers' starters to punch out 7+ hitters. Now, is that a mix of the Brewers pressing or the Dodgers' arms being otherworldly dominant? I think it's a mixture of both.

To boot, Jackson Chourio came up lame and left Thursday's game with an injury mid-at-bat. He's been the Brewers' best hitter this postseason, so they have basically no chance if he's out.


Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction, Betting Analysis

Do we have to complicate things and try to find an angle that includes the Brewers winning a game? I just can't get there. The Dodgers are clearly the better team here, and the Brewers suddenly reverting to their regular-season approach seems unlikely.

Ohtani should be a force on the mound, just like his three teammates were to begin the series.

I'll take the run line with the home team.

Right now, you can grab the Dodgers run line at plus money and that's a slam dunk for me. With the uncertainty surrounding the Brewers pitchers and their inability to hit makes it an easy play for me.

Pick: Dodgers -1.5 (-110, bet365)

Playbook

Moneyline

No play


Run Line (Spread)

I like the run line with the Dodgers


Brewers vs Dodgers Betting Trends



Brewers vs Dodgers Weather


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