Our baseball betting experts have come through with four MLB best bets for the slate of games on Sunday, July 6.
Three rivalry games are among their Sunday MLB picks and predictions: Cardinals vs. Cubs, Yankees vs. Mets and Giants vs. Athletics. There's also a home run pick for Astros vs. Dodgers and a Tarik Skubal prop bet for Tigers vs. Guardians.
Continue below to find our MLB best bets for Sunday.
MLB Picks, Best Bets, Props, Picks, Predictions — 7/6
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:40 p.m. | |
  | 1:40 p.m. | |
  | 4:10 p.m. | |
  | 6:10 p.m. | |
  | 10:05 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Kyle Murray's Tigers vs Guardians Best Bet: Back Skubal To Shine
By Kyle Murray
This just simply isn't enough juice to deter me from backing Tarik Skubal here.
Skubal is obviously one of the top two or three pitchers in the majors without an argument, and possibly the best pitcher we've seen in recent years.
He now gets a matchup against this putrid Cleveland team, which has scored a total of seven runs over the last six games. They also struggle against lefties, as their projected lineup has a combined ISO of just .084 and a wOBA of .263 versus southpaws this season.
Pick: Tarik Skubal Under 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-140)
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Derek Carty's Yankees vs Mets: Nice Odds on Soto's HRs
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X is forecasting 0.23 home runs for Juan Soto. Oddsmakers are implying 0.18 home runs, so I believe there is value here. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 20% of the time, resulting in a 26% ROI with an expected value of $26.19 (based on a $100 wager).
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Juan Soto 1+ Home Runs (+525)
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Derek Carty's Astros vs Dodgers: Value on Edman Today
By Derek Carty
There may be some value on Tommy Edman's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.20 home runs, and oddsmakers are implying 0.16. The model believes there is an 18% chance he records at least one home run, so there is value on the over at +625.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Tommy Edman Over 0.5 Home Runs (+625)
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Bet Labs' Cardinals vs Cubs Best Bet: System Pick for the Under
By Bet Labs
We have a Bet Labs recommendation for Cardinals vs. Cubs. The Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams, Later in Series system, by Evan Abrams, targets unders in MLB series games (Game 2 or later) where both teams have winning records, suggesting quality pitching and competitive matchups.
However, public betting leans toward the over — likely expecting fireworks between top teams — which creates contrarian value on the under.
By capitalizing on low public support for the under (≤35%), the strategy fades public perception in favor of market inefficiencies, especially when bettors overestimate offensive output late in a series.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-115)
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Charlie Wright's Giants vs Athletics Best Bet: Great Matchup for Lopez
Jacob Lopez scuffled last time out, but this is a great spot to bounce back.
He draws a Giants offense that ranks in the bottom five in OPS and wOBA against lefties since the start of May. They have the fifth-highest strikeout rate.
Lopez has a K/9 up near 11 in his brief MLB action this season. He has a solid 12% SwStr% and a CSW% above 28%.
The A's starter had 6+ strikeouts in four starts last month and has a good shot to continue that trend.
Pick: Jacob Lopez Over 5.5 Strikeouts (+125)
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