We have a full 15-game slate on Tuesday, starting with Pirates vs Phillies at Citizens Bank Park at 6:40 PM ET, and ending with Dodgers vs A's at 9:40 PM ET at Sutter Health Park.
Our experts have analyzed the matchups and found great options for Tuesday, June 30.
Below are 4 expert MLB best bets today.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each matchup our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:40 PM | |
  | 7:10 PM | |
  | 8:05 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Ryan Minion's Pirates vs Phillies Best Bet
By Ryan Minion
Despite Bubba Chandler playing in just his second season in the Big Leagues, the 23-year-old has previously faced several hitters in the Phils’ lineup.
In one prior at-bat against Chandler, Bryce Harper launched a three-run homer into the stands in impressive fashion.
In addition to the psychological angle that comes with a young pitcher having to face a slugger of Harper’s caliber, Chandler’s having already allowed a moonshot to Philadelphia’s eight-time All-Star should pose even more of a mental hurdle for the Pirates’ youngster.
That said, I feel great backing Harper to build upon his previous success versus the Pirates’ right-hander and will be targeting the 33-year-old to exceed 1.5 total bases.
Pick: Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110 or Better)
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Matt Trollo's Tigers vs Yankees Best Bet
By Matt Trollo
Yankee Stadium enhances run scoring by 4% via current Statcast Park Factors. It has recently become more power-friendly to RHBs (HRs 20% more than average) than LHBs (14% above average), though I suspect a lot of that is due to Aaron Judge’s prowess reaching the right field bleachers.
Temperatures in the low 80s, with a double-digit wind out to left field (as currently forecast, which could change), could boost the run environment by a further 5% or so.
Mike Estabrook is one of the more pitcher-friendly umpires in the league, though, and could drop that back around 2% for a total boost closer to 7%. More on how we may be able to use him to our advantage below.
I have both pitchers projected slightly below 3, with little gap between the two right now.
Even without Judge, I rate the Yankee offense slightly better, closer to an 110 wRC+, with the Tigers just above 100, via projected lineups.
The Yankee defense should be slightly better, with base running not moving the needle at all for either team.
Bullpens are very close as well, with a slight edge to the Yankees.
Overall, I have the Yankees as small favorites, in line with the market for both the full game and F5.
I completely expect a pitchers’ duel here and can see some daylight at 7.5, but not at -120 or higher. It will remain a lean for now and perhaps actionable should it dip closer to -110, but I suspect it will drop to 7 before that happens.
I am going to post a play, but bear in mind it’s one I would probably be wavering on the borderline if I weren’t writing this article, though there are supporting numbers.
Schlittler has a ridiculous 45.8 K% over the last month, but his 15.4 SwStr% over that span can support something in the mid-30s. He’s striking out LHBs (31.3%) even more than RHBs (28%) this year, and with a total projection of 23 batters faced, I suspect he’ll see somewhere around 15 from the left-hand side.
The Tigers have been playing James Outman, who has a career 35.5 K% against RHP, quite frequently lately. Carpenter, Greene, Torkelson and Hao-Yu Lee also reach 25% or higher against RHP this year.
The 23 batters Schlittler is projected to face average a 25.7 K% against RHP.
Yankee Stadium is neutral for strikeouts, and the weather probably won’t benefit Schlittler in that respect, but Estabrook might. His presence behind the plate generally boosts strikeouts by an average of 4%.
I think it’s entirely reasonable to project Schlittler to strike out one-third of the batters he faces on Tuesday night under these conditions, which would get him to eight around half the time.
That should be good enough for the price currently being offered.
Pick: Cam Schlittler Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+100 or Better)
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Sean Zerillo's Padres vs Cubs Best Bet
By Sean Zerillo
I project some value on the Under in this matchup.
If you want to dive deeper into this matchup, check out BARTOLO, my new PRO baseball betting tool.
Pick: Under 11 (-120 or Better)
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Jon Anderson's Dodgers vs Athletics Best Bet
By Jon Anderson
I want to fade Justin Wrobleski, but the prices aren't pushing me there.
His ER lines are set at 3.5. I expect to get a 2.5 there. He's given up more than three earned just thrice all year (13 starts), so I don't feel good about that price whatsoever.
The one that's decent is the under 17.5 outs line.
Pick: Justin Wrobleski Under 17.5 Outs (-110 or Better)
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