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MLB NRFI Odds, Pick & Preview: Nick Pivetta & Jeffrey Springs Have First-Inning Edge in Rays vs. Red Sox (July 5)

MLB NRFI Odds, Pick & Preview: Nick Pivetta & Jeffrey Springs Have First-Inning Edge in Rays vs. Red Sox (July 5) article feature image
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Winslow Townson/Getty Images. Pictured: Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Nick Pivetta.

  • The Red Sox host the Rays on Tuesday night at Fenway Park in a matchup that features two lineups that have struggled to hit early in games of late.
  • The Rays will start Jeffrey Springs on the mound while the Red Sox will counter with Nick Pivetta.
  • Shayne Trail breaks down the matchup and shares his best first-inning bet below.

Shayne Trail breaks down his favorite NRFI/YRFI bet of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app.


Rays vs. Red Sox — No Runs First Innings (+100)

Matchup Rays (Springs) vs. Red Sox (Pivetta)
First Pitch 7:10 p.m. ET
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On Tuesday, there’s NRFI value at Fenway Park in an AL East matchup between the Rays and Red Sox.

Jeffrey Springs has flown under the radar this season with an impressive 9-1 NRFI record, including a perfect 5-0 away NRFI record. Springs has some impressive first-inning splits as he has held the 36 batters he’s faced to a .171 average while only issuing one walk.

The Red Sox hitters are slumping this week, and now is the perfect time to jump on them with a NRFI bet:

J.D. Martinez: 2-for-21
Xander Bogaerts: 3-for-19
Rob Refsnyder: 2-for-14

This slump has sent the Red Sox on a 9-1 NRFI run in their last 10 games. The Red Sox also NRFI at home at a high rate, hitting 76% of the time.

On the other side, Nick Pivetta will toe the rubber for the Red Sox, and he is a strong 14-2 to the NRFI in 2022. Against 58 first-inning batters, he has allowed a .164 average while only allowing three walks.

Here is how Pivetta has fared in the past against these Rays hitters:

Ji-Man Choi: 0-for-4
Wander Franco: 1-for-8
Randy Arozarena: 1-for-4
Yandy Diaz: 1-for-6

Over 23 first-inning plate appearances in July, the Rays rank 29th in Hard-Hit Rate at a minuscule 6.3%.

Look for these division rivals to play a close game and for these pitchers to mow down the hitters in the opening frames. Take the NRFI between the Rays and the Red Sox.

As always, six outs to glory…

For all of Shayne Trail’s favorite NRFI/YRFI bets, follow him in the Action Network app.

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