We have a 16-game slate on Saturday, thanks to a Guardians-Twins day-night doubleheader, and several of these matchups have massive playoff implications.
So there's a lot of baseball on the schedule today, but we have you covered. Our MLB betting experts and systems have sifted through the latest MLB odds and have made their predictions below.
So, continue reading for today's MLB best bets.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 2:10 p.m. | |
  | 7:05 p.m. | |
  | 7:10 p.m. | |
  | 8:10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Bet Labs' Guardians vs Twins Best Bet: Expect a Low-Scoring Game
By Bet Labs
The "Daytime Unders with Efficient Arms" system bets the under in daytime games where solid visiting arms suppress scoring and the home offense is steady but not explosive, such as the first game of the doubleheader today between the Guardians and Twins. These are the conditions:
- Day games (11:00–14:59 ET) often play more slowly due to the sun, shadows, and shorter rest.
- Visitor SP filters (ERA 3–4.76 and WHIP 1.07–1.39) identify efficient pitchers capable of limiting damage without elite notoriety.
- Home team hit rate between 7.81 and 8.24 ensures average offensive output—enough to avoid “over” volatility but not dominate.
- Regular-season only avoids erratic postseason scoring.
Combined with lower totals and calm game tempos, this approach isolates a pocket where public expectations may overshoot actual output.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-110)
| | | |
Derek Carty's Yankees vs Orioles: Great Odds for Judge
By Derek Carty
There may be some value in Aaron Judge's home runs prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.43 home runs, and oddsmakers are implying 0.32.
The model believes there is a 36% chance he records at least one home run, so there is value on the over at +265.
Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Aaron Judge Home Run (+265)
| | | |
PRO's Padres vs White Sox Best Bet: Fade Darvish's Strikeouts
By Action PRO
PRO projects Padres starter Yu Darvish with 4.45 strikeouts today, which represents an excellent 11.5% edge against the market.
The 39-year-old right-hander only struck out five batters in his last outing, and has not recorded more than five Ks in five of his previous eight starts.
With the line at 5.5, you can fade the veteran tonight against the White Sox.
Pick: Yu Darvish Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-160)
| | | |
Bet Labs's Phillies vs Diamondbacks Best Bet: System Recommends the Over
By Bet Labs
Tonight, the Phillies visit Chase Field, home of the Diamondbacks, and our Bet Labs system recommends the over, based on this analysis.
Late in the MLB season, games played in hitter-friendly or high-variance environments — such as in Colorado, Arizona, and Washington — tend to go over the total when the closing line is modest (≤10.5).
These markets often underestimate run production during the final stretch of the season due to weather conditions (e.g., dry heat in AZ/CO, humid air in DC) and expanded rosters increasing bullpen volatility.
Public perception around fatigue or playoff pressure may further depress totals.
This creates value when betting overs in August to October for these specific home teams, particularly during regular-season games.
Pick: Over 9 (-110)
| | | |
