The New York Yankees host the New York Mets on September 11, 2026. First pitch from Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on YES.
The Yankees are favored by -140 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Mets are +115 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Yankees prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Yankees Prediction
- Mets vs Yankees Pick: Nolan McLean Under 17.5 Outs (-110)
My Mets vs Yankees best bet is Under 17.5 outs for Nolan McLean in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page, and download the Action Network app for more picks and analysis.
Mets vs Yankees Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -185 | 8 -115o / -105u | +115 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +150 | 8 -115o / -105u | -140 |
- Mets vs Yankees moneyline: Mets +115, Yankees -140
- Mets vs Yankees over/under: 8 (-115o / -105u)
- Mets vs Yankees spread: Mets +1.5 (-185), Yankees -1.5 (+150)
Mets vs Yankees Probable Pitchers
| Nolan McLean (RHP, NYM) | Stat | Carlos Rodon (LHP, NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 11-8 | W-L | 5-3 |
| 3.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 3.06 / 3.63 | ERA / xERA | 3.09 / 3.92 |
| 3.57 / 3.66 | FIP / xFIP | 3.82 / 4.34 |
| 17.0 | K-BB% | 13.5 |
| 45.6 | GB% | 35.0 |
| .264 | BABIP | .226 |
| 107 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 95 | Location+ | 87 |
Mets vs Yankees MLB Betting Preview, Prediction
Editor's Note: This written pick is a transcription from today's episode of the Payoff Pitch Podcast.
By Derek Carty
I'm going with a Nolan McLean fade: Under 17.5 outs, with -110 as the best odds on the board. I like it down to -165.
Obviously, the Mets starter is a great pitcher and fading him is a little scary, but it's less scary in this matchup because the Yankees offense is really good. Not only that, but with Aaron Judge back, this is a lineup that can take pitches, draw walks, and run a starter's pitch count up.
So this is a spot where McLean is more likely to struggle than he otherwise would. Also, it's a park downgrade for him.
THE BAT X is projecting about 15 outs for him. So if we can get the under 17.5 at very reasonable odds, the value on this pick is good.
Pick: Nolan McLean Under 17.5 Outs (-110, BetMGM)
