The Baltimore Orioles host the New York Yankees on May 11, 2026. First pitch from Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on YES.
The Yankees are favored by -177 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are +147 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Orioles prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction
- Yankees vs Orioles Pick: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Hits (+200, FanDuel)
My Yankees vs Orioles best bet is on Judge to record 2+ hits. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Orioles Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -115 | 9 -100o / -117u | -177 |
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -107 | 9 -100o / -117u | +147 |
- Yankees vs Orioles moneyline: Yankees -177, Orioles +147
- Yankees vs Orioles over/under: 9 (-100o / -117u)
- Yankees vs Orioles spread: Yankees -1.5 (-107), Orioles +1.5 (-115)
Yankees vs Orioles Probable Pitchers
| Ryan Weathers | Stat | Brandon Young |
|---|---|---|
| 26-15 | W-L | 18-23 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 3.03 / 4.66 | ERA / xERA | 4.35 / 4.75 |
| 3.58 / 2.95 | FIP / xFIP | 4.81 / 5.17 |
| 22.2 | K-BB% | 6.5 |
| 41.2 | GB% | 39.4 |
| .309 | BABIP | .279 |
| 100 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 115 | Location+ | 107 |
Yankees vs Orioles MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects Yankees superstar Aaron Judge for 1.55 hits in this matchup, giving us a strong 12.8% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 1.5, which is good enough to tag the Over with a B+ grade in our system.
Yankees vs Orioles Pick, Betting Analysis
Judge has already recorded 39 hits on the season and continues to anchor one of the most dangerous lineups in baseball. While clearing a 1.5 hits line is always more demanding than the standard 0.5 prop, Judge's recent consistency makes this number look very attainable.
He has recorded at least one hit in four of his last five games, and the larger sample is even more encouraging, as he has gone over this number in eight of his last 10 outings.
Pick: Aaron Judge Over 1.5 Hits (+200, FanDuel)
