The Detroit Tigers host the New York Yankees on June 22, 2026. First pitch from Comerica Park is scheduled for 6:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on DSN.
The Yankees are favored by -132 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Tigers are +112 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Yankees vs Tigers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Yankees vs Tigers Prediction
- Yankees vs Tigers Pick: Over 8.5 (-110)
My Yankees vs Tigers best bet is Over 8.5 total runs in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Tigers Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +128 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | -132 |
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -154 | 8.5 -110o / -110u | +112 |
- Yankees vs Tigers moneyline: Yankees -132, Tigers +112
- Yankees vs Tigers over/under: 8.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Yankees vs Tigers spread: Yankees -1.5 (+128), Tigers -1.5 (-154)
Yankees vs Tigers Probable Pitchers
| Gerrit Cole (RHP, NYY) | Stat | Framber Valder (LHP, DET) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | W-L | 3-5 |
| 0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.8 |
| 2.57 / 2.78 | ERA / xERA | 4.09 / 4.49 |
| 4.21 / 4.44 | FIP / xFIP | 4.34 / 4.37 |
| 14.3 | K-BB% | 9.5 |
| 33.3 | GB% | 50.8 |
| .213 | BABIP | .287 |
| 100 | Stuff+ | 103 |
| 99 | Location+ | 99 |
Yankees vs Tigers MLB Betting Preview
New York Yankees Betting Preview
After missing the entire 2025 season following Tommy John surgery, Gerrit Cole returned to the Yankees rotation on May 22 and has wasted no time returning to form. The former Cy Young winner has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his five starts back from the I.L. and currently holds a 2.57 ERA.
The best news for Cole and the Yankees has been how quickly his velocity has recovered. His fastball is sitting at 96.7 miles per hour, the same level as prior to surgery. The one thing that has not bounced back is his strikeout rate, which is currently sitting below league average at just 21.4%.
When you look at the Yankees offense, there are two versions of it. The elite, top five offense in the sport, you get with Aaron Judge in the lineup. And then the slightly-above-average version without him. It is not all doom and gloom without Judge, as some people try to act. Since Judge went on the injured list, the Yankees are still fifth in home runs and 12th in team OPS.
Ben Rice is having an MVP-caliber season in his own right, ranking second in the league with a 1.004 OPS. Former MVPs Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt have both been mashing the ball all season and have really helped carry this offense without Judge.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
Besides becoming a lightning rod for drama recently, Framber Valdez is also experiencing his worst season on the mound since his rookie year. The 32-year-old veteran has a 4.09 ERA in his first season with the Tigers and has allowed four runs or more five times already.
Valdez has never been a big strikeout guy, and instead has always relied on his sinker to generate ground balls. Batters have always been able to square Valdez up pretty well, but it was kept on the ground, so it did not matter much. The problem is this season his ground-ball rate has dropped considerably to just 51.5%, well below his 61.6% career average.
After going through a dreadful May at the plate, Detroit was able to flip the calendar and pick things up in June. Since the start of the month, the Tigers rank fifth in team OPS and second in home runs.
Catcher Dillon Dingler and rookie Kevin McGonigle have been their two most consistent hitters all season, and both are having great months. Dingler is hitting .426 with a 1.238 OPS over the last two weeks. This lineup has a lot of talent; they have just all been streaky this season and not all clicking at once.
Yankees vs Tigers Pick, Betting Analysis
As good as Cole has looked since his return from injury, the one concern is that his strikeout rate has not yet recovered fully. At his peak, Cole was posting a 13.82 K/9 rate back in 2019 with Houston.
In his Cy Young season in 2023, Cole was sitting at a 9.56 K/9 rate, and the last time we saw him pre-injury, he was at 9.38. Since returning from the injured list, Cole has managed just a 7.71 K/9 rate. He did have a 10-strikeout game, but had just 14 punch-outs in the other four starts across 21 innings.
Detroit’s offense has been inconsistent and streaky this season, but they have plenty of pop. Detroit’s offense has been red hot at the plate and is second in the league in home runs during June.
Where they get into trouble is with too much swing-and-miss, but if Cole is unable to miss bats, the Tigers have the power to make him pay.
Valdez also doesn’t miss bats very well. That has never been his strategy, but now his ground ball rate also isn’t what it used to be. Hitters have always made hard contact against Valdez, but it never mattered when it was on the ground.
Now that balls are getting in the air more, he is finally paying for it. Valdez averaged just 14 home runs allowed per season over the last five years. He has already allowed nine long balls this season.
Even without Judge, this Yankees lineup has plenty of pop. They have an MVP candidate and two former MVP winners still, and all three have been mashing the ball this season to help fill the void of Judge. Not to mention the streaky Jazz Chisholm, who is hitting .379 with a .467 wOBA against sinkers this season, his best against pitch type.
Both of these lineups have plenty of power, and with two pitchers who are struggling to miss bats right now, all it takes is one or two mistakes to quickly put up a crooked number and help this total go over on Monday night.
Pick: Over 8.5 (-110, FanDuel)
