The Chicago White Sox host the Philadelphia Phillies on July 28, 2025. First pitch from Rate Field is scheduled for 7:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NBCS-PH.
Find my MLB betting preview and Phillies vs White Sox prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Phillies vs White Sox Prediction
- Phillies vs White Sox picks: Under 8 (-103)
My Phillies vs White Sox best bet is Under 8, with the best line currently available at DraftKings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs White Sox Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -136 | 8 -117o / -103u | -225 |
| White Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +112 | 8 -117o / -103u | +181 |
Phillies vs White Sox Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | Stat | RHP Davis Martin (CHW) |
|---|---|---|
| 9-2 | W-L | 2-8 |
| 3.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.8 |
| 2.40 / 2.84 | ERA / xERA | 3.89 / 5.36 |
| 2.68 / 2.75 | FIP / xFIP | 4.55 / 4.36 |
| 1.09 | WHIP | 1.24 |
| 20.4 | K-BB% | 9.3 |
| 59.2 | GB% | 48.3 |
| 115 | Stuff+ | 97 |
| 98 | Location+ | 98 |
Phillies vs White Sox Preview
As if his season wasn't already great, Cristopher Sanchez has a 1.40 ERA in his last seven starts for the Phillies and will face one of the worst offenses in the majors.
The White Sox are 28th in wRC+ (84), 29th in slugging (.360), 29th in average (.227) and 28th in ISO (.133) this season among all MLB teams.
Sanchez has a better away ERA than at home (2.17) and is coming off a complete game against the Boston Red Sox, allowing just one run and four hits, with 12 strikeouts.
The under is in play if Davis Martin can get a quality start for the White Sox. He has a 3.77 ERA in his last seven outings and a 3.02 ERA at home compared to his 4.70 ERA on the road.
This is our Bet Labs recommendation, using the Steam Unders with Low OU support system.
This MLB betting system, titled "Steam Unders with Low OU Support", is built on the premise that sharp money moving totals downward, paired with weak public support on the under, creates an exploitable edge in the betting market.
The strategy focuses on regular season games from 2019 to 2025, where the closing total lands between 8 and 10, sweet spots for scoring volatility. It isolates games where the over/under line has dropped significantly from open to close, signaling smart money on the under, yet public sentiment heavily favors the over, with only a small share of bets backing the under.
This mismatch between money and ticket count indicates potential value, especially when the difference between those two figures is meaningful but not extreme.
To reduce noise, the system excludes games played in extreme heat or cold, only including those where temperatures range from mild to warm. It also requires both teams to have a recent record of games that hover around the total, suggesting no extreme streaks skewing expectations.
These filters ensure that neither team is riding unsustainable over or under trends. Ultimately, this system looks for low-confidence unders that have been steamed down by sharp bettors, where public interest is light and the number still sits within a realistic scoring range.
The result is a consistent edge, backed by a high sample size and strong return on investment.
Pick: Under 8 (-103)
