The New York Mets host the Pittsburgh Pirates on March 29, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are favored by -180 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Pirates are +150 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Pirates vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Pirates vs Mets Prediction
- Pirates vs Mets Pick: Oneil Cruz 1+ Hits (-115)
Our Pirates vs Mets best bet is on Oneil Cruz to record one or more hits today. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Mets Odds
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -140 | 8 -105o / -115u | +150 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +120 | 8 -105o / -115u | -180 |
- Pirates vs Mets spread: Pirates +1.5 (-140), Mets -1.5 (+120)
- Pirates vs Mets over/under: 8 (-1052o / -115u)
- Pirates vs Mets moneyline: Pirates +150, Mets -180
Pirates vs Mets Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Carmen Mlodzinski (PIT) | 2025 Stats | RHP Nolan McLean (NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-8 | W-L | 5-1 |
| 1.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.2 |
| 3.55 / 4.06 | ERA / xERA | 2.05 / 3.56 |
| 3.33 / 3.60 | FIP / xFIP | 2.97 / 2.78 |
| 1.30 | WHIP | 1.04 |
| 14.8 | K-BB% | 21.8 |
| 47.5 | GB% | 61.1 |
| 102 | Stuff+ | 109 |
| 104 | Location+ | 99 |
Pirates vs Mets Preview, Prediction
Action PRO projects Pirates outfielder Oneil Cruz for 0.975 hits in their matchup against the Mets this afternoon, giving us a solid 8.8% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 0.5, which is good enough to mark the Over with a B- grade in our system.
Cruz is much better facing right-handed pitchers, and that was the reason he went to the bench yesterday against the Mets' lefty starter David Peterson.
Last season, he had a .758 OPS versus RHP compared to a terrible .400 OPS against LHP.
This afternoon, he will start again in center field and will take on Nolan McLean.
Cruz went 1-for-5 in his season debut on Thursday and will look to bounce back after a disappointing 2025 season.
At a good value, let's back him today to get a hit against New York.
Pick: Oneil Cruz 1+ Hits (-115, bet365)
