PropBetGuy’s MLB Player Prop Betting Pick for Wednesday: Expect Kyle Hendricks’ Slump to Continue (June 1)
Matt Dirksen/Getty Images. Pictured: Kyle Hendricks of the Chicago Cubs.
- With 16 MLB games on Wednesday's slate, there was no shortage of prop bets to target.
- PropBetGuy is looking at the Brewers-Cubs game, specifically starting pitcher Kyle Hendricks.
- Check out his pick and analysis below.
PropBetGuy will break down some of his favorite MLB plays of the day, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.
Kyle Hendricks Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-113)
|Prop||Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-113)|
|Matchup||Brewers at Cubs|
|Time||8:05 p.m. ET|
Kyle Hendricks is off to the worst start in his nine-year Cubs tenure. The typically-reliable righty is pitching to a 5.20 ERA while failing to finish six innings in eight of his 10 starts.
Hendricks has never had an overpowering pitch arsenal; instead, he relies on control and finesse to initiate soft contact. This season, the issue is that his control has not been there. The Professor’s 61.7% strike rate is the lowest of his career and ranks 109th out of 124 qualifying starting pitchers. Hendricks’ 7.8% walk rate is also a career-high.
Plus, Hendricks has not been limiting the hard contact as he normally does. His hard-hit percentage (39.5%) is by far the highest of his career (previous high was 33%).
Tonight, the division-rival Brewers will face Hendricks for the third time this season. I like the Brew Crew to replicate the success it has had so far — torching Hendricks for 12 hits and seven runs in 9.2 innings. Moreover, Hendricks’ control should come into play, because Milwaukee boasts the third-lowest chase rate in baseball.
I don’t have Hendricks making it past the fifth inning tonight.
Pick: Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (Play to Under 16.5 Outs)
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