Sunday MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Reds vs. Rockies Betting Preview
Matthew Stockman/Getty Images. Pictured: Kyle Freeland
- The Rockies are favored over the Reds in Sunday afternoon MLB action.
- Cincinnati has been one of the worst road teams in baseball this year, while Colorado has gotten off to a better start than expected.
- Get Jules Posner's Reds vs. Rockies pick and preview below.
Reds vs. Rockies Odds
|Time||3:10 p.m. ET|
|Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.|
The Cincinnati Reds will look to avoid a sweep on Sunday afternoon against the Colorado Rockies.
The Reds had the lead for the majority of Saturday night’s game and then the Rockies remembered they were playing the 2022 Reds.
Reiver Sanmartin will attempt to get the Reds their fourth win of the season and he’ll be squaring off against Kyle Freeland.
Both starters have had rough starts to the year, but in different ways.
Sanmartin has been tagged for at least five runs in all but one start. In that one start, he threw five scoreless innings in Los Angeles against the Dodgers.
Freeland has been a lot of things throughout his career, but consistent hasn’t been one of them. He brings a 6.16 ERA, but a 4.10 FIP and 3.83 xFIP into Sunday’s showdown, so there are some indicators he may be pitching better than his numbers let on.
Cincinnati Reds: Coors Field Will Present Problems for Pitchers
The Reds haven’t done many things well this year and hitting lefties on the road is another thing you can add to that list.
The Reds are 29th in team wRC+ against left handers on the road and that is one of the many reasons why they are the worst road offense in baseball. Even in Coors Field, with a fairly right-handed line up, the Reds’ offense still hasn’t been able to get it going.
Cincinnati is also still without Tyler Stephenson and Donovan Solano, two hitters who handle lefties well.
Sanmartin gets the start for the Reds, but he is struggling this season. He’s posted a 7.11 ERA, but a 4.28 FIP so far on the road — meaning, he has ran into some tough luck.
Sanmartin will be flanked by one of the worst bullpens in the league. For all the talk about the organization’s forward thinking pitching development, they have really struggled to develop consistent pitchers.
The Reds’ bullpen is a bottom five unit in ERA and FIP and Coors Field does not seem like a great place for those numbers to improve.
Colorado Rockies: Which Version of Freeland Will Show Up?
The Colorado Rockies had a respectable start to the season, but they are rapidly starting to regress to the mean.
The Rockies are probably glad to be back home, but surprisingly they have been slightly below average against lefties at home in 2022. Colorado has a 95 team wRC+, which is 18th in the league in a small-ish sample.
The Rockies will also be without Kris Bryant who is a lefty masher. However, they have plenty of other right-handed bats and platoon options available.
Freeland takes the mound for the Rockies and plenty of questions come with that. He’s coming off two solid starts, but he was also roughed up pretty badly in his first two starts — both of which were at Coors Field.
The bullpen has also been an issue for the Rockies. They have the highest staff ERA and the 9th highest FIP, meaning they have been slightly unlucky, but still well below average.
The Reds are constructed to lose, so it’s pretty safe at this point to bet that they will. The real question is by how much? Additionally, the Reds are comprised of human professional baseball players with emotions like pride and competitiveness, which throws a wrench in their hopes to lose every game.
The Rockies are 8-4 at home and the moneyline sits around -155 at the moment. If it stays there that might be worth taking, but if you’re looking for value the run line is +115 and it’s worth the risk considering the Reds pitching, offense and 2-11 road record.
Pick: Rockies -1.5 (+115)
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