Rockies vs Phillies Pick Today | MLB Odds, Predictions Monday (April 15)
Credit: Getty Images. Pictured: Cal Quantrill (left) and Aaron Nola (right).
Rockies vs. Phillies Odds
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
+215 | 8.5 -120 / +100 | +1.5 +105 |
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
-265 | 8.5 -120 / +100 | -1.5 -125 |
Here's everything you need to know about Rockies vs. Phillies on Monday, April 15, including odds and a prediction.
The Philadelphia Phillies open a three-game set against the Colorado Rockies on Monday evening.
The Phils are coming off a series split against the Pittsburgh Pirates, whereas the Rockies continued their early season struggles, losing two of three to the Blue Jays over the weekend.
Both teams will feature a right-handed starting pitcher, as Cal Quantrill gets the ball for the Rockies and Aaron Nola for the Phils. Both have struggled to start the year.
Let's waste no further time and break down both teams below in our Rockies vs. Phillies Odds & Pick.
It is tough to be a Rockies fan right now, and today they face a Phillies team that is due to break out offensively.
A couple of young pieces on the roster can blossom into long-term big-league players, but the most significant issue is the pitching.
Quantrill enters the matchup with a 7.20 ERA and a 23% CSW rate. Both stats rank amongst the bottom-of-the-barrel MLB starters.
The Phillies' offense has yet to get cooking, but it is only a matter of time before it explodes.
Quantrill doesn't miss bats and allows too many long balls to stay consistent. The weather in Philadelphia is projected to be cloudy, with temperatures in the low 80s — a perfect run-scoring environment.
He also has decent success against the current hitters on the Phils' roster, as the lineup is hitting .222 lifetime against him in 50 at-bats. However, I don't put much stock into that, as Quantrill is the type of pitcher who can get fortunate due to the amount of contact he allows.
Through the early season, Quantrill has a 29.9% chase rate and an 88% zone contact rate, which are alarming statistics. He's not as bad as his 7.20 ERA suggests, but it is a terrible matchup for him in a hitter-friendly park.
Offensively, the Rockies are fortunate enough to face Nola, who has yet to find his gear in 2024, but it's only a matter of time before he flips the switch. Nola is not the ace everyone deems him to be, but he is due for better performances.
Nola may have fallen off a cliff, and perhaps the Rockies could score some runs early. But I can't trust Colorado's lineup to contribute to the total or keep the game close.
It is Week 3 of the regular season, and Bryce Harper is batting .190. Besides his incredible three-homer night two weeks ago against the Reds, Harper has really struggled at the plate.
The Phils are hitting .234 as a team and are in the bottom five in runs scored per game (3.6). Something tells me that as the weather warms up, the offense will follow suit.
What better way to shake off a 9-2 Sunday loss than to get a juicy matchup against a vulnerable opposing starting pitcher? I alluded to the career numbers above, but it is a golden opportunity for the Phils to break out of their offensive slump.
Even if Quantrill manages to escape with limited damage during his start, the Rockies bullpen has been a train wreck. There is no doubt that they should get plenty of opportunities to score runs throughout the game.
Phillies fans are probably concerned about Nola's performance thus far, but I wouldn't hit the panic button yet. He tends to go through stretches where he looks like a shell of himself, but this is a perfect measuring stick game on whether or not he is a liability moving forward.
It will be a great night for some baseball at the Bank, and the offense is hungry to turn things around.
Rockies vs. Phillies
Betting Pick & Prediction
Due to the current state of the Phils offense, we're getting a generous discount on their team total over. You can grab over 5.5 runs at +110 on DraftKings, and I love that value.
Although the Phils have struggled against Quantrill, he's still a relatively poor major league starter. Meanwhile, the hitting conditions look good, and the Bank is not a fun place to pitch with a home run problem.
Harper, T.J. Realmuto and Nick Castellanos are due to get it going on the offensive end, and I think Monday is when they start turning the corner.
Don't overthink it and get fooled by the poor start to the year by the Phils offense. Take advantage of the discount while you can.
Pick: Phillies Team Total Over 5.5 (Play to -110)
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