The Toronto Blue Jays host the Tampa Bay Rays on May 11, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on SN1.
The Blue Jays are favored by -130 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Rays are +110 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Rays vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Rays vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Rays vs Blue Jays Pick: Jonathan Aranda 1+ Singles (+105)
Our Rays vs. Blue Jays best bet is on Jonathan Aranda to record one or more singles in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rays vs Blue Jays Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -210 | 7.5 -100o / -122u | +110 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +172 | 7.5 -100o / -122u | -130 |
- Rays vs Blue Jays moneyline: Rays +110, Blue Jays -130
- Rays vs Blue Jays over/under: 7.5 (-100o / -122u)
- Rays vs Blue Jays spread: Rays +1.5 (-210), Blue Jays -1.5 (+172)
Rays vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
| RHP Drew Rasmussen (TB) | Stat | RHP Kevin Gausman (TOR) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | W-L | 2-2 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.1 |
| 2.95 / 3.18 | ERA / xERA | 3.09 / 3.36 |
| 3.72 / 2.97 | FIP / xFIP | 3.24 / 3.48 |
| 21.2 | K-BB% | 18.4 |
| 49.5 | GB% | 39.7 |
| .224 | BABIP | .250 |
| 104 | Stuff+ | 99 |
| 115 | Location+ | 110 |
Rays vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects Rays 1B Jonathan Aranda for 0.81 singles in tonight's matchup against the Blue Jays, giving us a 6.7% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 0.5, which is good enough to tag the over with a C+ grade in our system.
Aranda has a .448 average in May through nine games, with 13 hits in 29 at-bats, but only one of those was an extra-base hit.
Our projections also show a 9.2% edge on his hits prop line, but with significantly worse odds available.
Aranda already faced Toronto last week, with five hits in nine at-bats in that series. Against tonight's starter, Kevin Gausman, he hit a single in three at-bats on May 5.
Rays vs Blue Jays Pick, Betting Analysis
Aranda has surpassed this singles line in six of his past eight games, with more than one single in three of those contests.
At plus money, let's back him tonight to go over it against the Blue Jays.
Pick: Jonathan Aranda 1+ Singles (+105, FanDuel)
