The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Texas Rangers on June 22, 2025. First pitch from PNC Park is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
The Pirates must avoid the sweep at home after losing both previous games, and will send Bailey Falter to the mound against the Rangers' Jack Leiter.
Find my MLB betting preview and Rangers vs Pirates prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, and more.
My Rangers vs Pirates Prediction
- Rangers vs Pirates picks: Over 9 (-115, BetMGM)
My Rangers vs Pirates best bet is Over 9. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Rangers vs Pirates Odds
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +155 | 9 -115o / -105u | -102 |
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 9 -115o / -105u | -118 |
Rangers vs Pirates Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Jack Leiter (TEX) | Stat | LHP Bailey Falter (PIT) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | W-L | 5-3 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.8 |
| 4.40 / 5.24 | ERA / xERA | 3.49 / 3.67 |
| 4.94 / 4.83 | FIP / xFIP | 4.29 / 4.66 |
| 1.29 | WHIP | 1.13 |
| 7.3 | K-BB% | 7.5 |
| 41.6 | GB% | 38.4 |
| 109 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 90 | Location+ | 98 |
Brit Devine’s Rangers vs Pirates Preview
Sunday might be the single best hitting weather in the history of PNC Park, with temperatures in the low 90s at first pitch, high humidity, and a steady 10 MPH wind blowing out.
Kevin Roth's WeatherEdge has 11 games "similar" to this one, weather-wise, in Pittsburgh. In those 11 games, there was a 149% increase in home runs and a 45% increase in total runs compared to the average game in PNC Park.
It isn't a huge sample, but it's enough for me to say the books are not factoring in the weather enough. If I were making the line for the books today, I would have this game at 10.
Texas starter Jack Lieter has given up 10 runs in his past two games, while Pirates starter Bailey Falter has been better than expected but still has allowed some big games this year.
The weather here is too good to ignore, as the books only seem to acknowledge it with a one-run boost on the total, where I would have it at least two runs higher than a typical game.
Pick: Over 9 (-115, BetMGM)
