Tuesday MLB NRFI Odds, Expert Pick & Prediction: Back Luzardo, Nola in Philadelphia (September 6)
Photo by Harry How/Getty Images. Pictured: Jesus Luzardo (Marlins)
Shayne Trail breaks down his favorite NRFI/YRFI bet of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app.
No Runs First Inning (-148)
| Matchup | J. Luzardo (Marlins) vs. A. Nola (Phillies) |
| First Pitch | 6:45 p.m. ET |
| Best Line | FanDuel |
On Tuesday, we head to Citizens Bank Park to find value in a NRFI between two National League East division rivals, the Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins.
The Phillies will send out their ace Aaron Nola, who has been spectacular this season in terms of the NRFI. Coming into today, Nola is 22-4 to the NRFI with an 11-2 home NRFI split.
When facing batters the first time through the order, he has held them to a .196 batting average.
Here is how Nola has done in the past against some of these Marlins hitters:
- Jon Berti: 3-for-8
- Garrett Cooper: 3-for-16
- Bryan De La Cruz: 1-for-5
Brian Anderson is projected to bat third today for the Marlins. Anderson has been struggling at the plate, as he is 2-for-19 in his last 21 at-bats. Right behind him is the struggling Cooper, who is 0-for-14.
The Marlins are officially the worst first-inning team when on the road in 2022. The Marlins NRFI on the road 88% of the time, placing them firmly as one of the worst.
The Marlins will counter with Jesus Luzardo. Coming into today, Luzardo has been extremely proficient to the NRFI, as he is 9-2 to the NRFI with a 5-2 road NRFI split.
When facing batters the first time through the order, Luzardo has held them in check, only allowing a .180 average.
Luzardo has also had great success against teams' leadoff hitters in 2022. Luzardo has faced 32 leadoff hitters and has only allowed six hits, which is good for a .188 average.
Here is how some of his Phillies' bats have done in the past against Luzardo:
- Bryce Harper: 1-for-6
- J.T. Realmuto: 0-for-5
- Alec Bohm: 1-for-3
Just six days into September, the Phillies are tracking already to be one of the worst first-inning hitting teams. In 12 first-inning plate appearances, they have one hit, which is suitable for a .100 average (26th in baseball).
Ride these two outstanding NRFI pitchers to have a collective three up/three down first inning.
Take the NRFI between the Phillies and Marlins.
As always, six outs to glory!
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