The Blue Jays proved that Blake Snell and the Dodgers weren't invincibles in Game 1, and tonight will have another exciting matchup as the World Series enters Game 2 in Toronto.
Our MLB betting experts and systems have found a few edges worth attacking tonight, so let's dive right into the picks.
Today's MLB best bets are below.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Sean Paul's Dodgers vs Blue Jays Best Bet: Home Field Advantage
By Sean Paul
After a brilliant complete-game effort in his last postseason outing, Yoshinobu Yamamoto will look to keep the momentum moving to the World Series.
The Dodgers starter posted a 2.49 ERA with a 2.93 FIP in his second MLB season. He's nasty. That's not a question. The bigger question is whether Yamamoto benefited from a Brewers squad that was basically a no-show in the NLCS.
I think that's part of it, and the Blue Jays will put up a much more formidable fight.
No team executes their approach better than the Toronto Blue Jays, who walked 9% of the time in the ALCS with an unbelievably good 14% strikeout rate.
While the Blue Jays' offense is elite, Kevin Gausman, who serves as Toronto's ace, will need to turn in a strong outing. The key will be limiting his walks. The Dodgers will likely be more patient versus Gausman and his splitter.
I have to take the Blue Jays. For one, Toronto is absolutely dominant at home.
Secondly, I think they offer the right approach to combat Yamamoto's elite swing-and-miss stuff. We saw how much Blake Snell had to work — and Yamamoto won't be any different.
Expect another impressive offensive showing from the Jays as plus money underdogs in Game 2.
Pick: Blue Jays ML +120
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Doug Ziefel's Dodgers vs Blue Jays Best Bet: Fade Gausman
By Doug Ziefel
Toronto will send Kevin Gausman to the mound for his fourth postseason start, and while Gausman has provided length for the Jays, he'll have an early exit tonight.
Over his four appearances, three of which are starts, Gausman holds a 2.00 ERA.
However, his xERA of 4.58 and xFIP of 4.37 are more telling of how he's actually pitched this postseason. Gausman's first-pitch strike rate is just below average, but his walk rate has skyrocketed, indicating he's been working a lot of deep counts.
Deep counts are what the Dodgers are looking for, as they had the second-highest walk rate among MLB lineups. Los Angeles will make Gausman work tonight, and he will pay for any mistakes left in the zone as his expected stats indicate sizable regression is looming.
With a well-rested bullpen and a day off tomorrow, don't expect Gausman to have the chance to work through much traffic, as these home games are critical for Toronto in this series.
Pick: Kevin Gausman Under 16.5 Outs (+100)
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PRO's Dodgers vs Blue Jays Best Bet: Another Tough Matchup
By Action PRO
PRO projects Dodgers starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto with 4.97 strikeouts tonight, which represents an extraordinary 18.3% edge against the market.
Yamamoto has fanned more than five batters twice in this postseason, but the one time when he couldn't was against the Phillies, allowing six hits and three runs in four innings.
Snell was in much better form entering Game 1, and the Blue Jays knocked him around with their efficient approach.
The under offers excellent value. He could fall short if the Jays' bats keep producing and the leash is short on Yamamoto after already losing the first game of this series.
Pick: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120)
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Bet Labs' Dodgers vs Blue Jays Best Bet: System Recommends the Under
By Bet Labs
When the wind blows in at 5–35 mph, fly balls lose carry, and home run rates drop significantly.
This system targets unders in these conditions with totals between 6–11, which will be the case for tonight's World Series Game 2 between the Dodgers and Blue Jays.
This is a sharp weather-based angle that exploits environmental factors that are often underweighted in line-setting but heavily affect scoring outcomes.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-110)
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