Jacob Malkoun vs Torrez Finney Odds
| Malkoun Odds | -148 |
| Finney Odds | +124 |
| Over/Under | 2.5 (-210/+160) |
| Location | Qudos Bank Arena, Sydney, Australia |
| Bout Time | 7:45 p.m. ET |
| TV/Streaming | Paramount+ |
| UFC 325 odds as of Saturday and via DraftKings. Bet on UFC 325 with our DraftKings promo code. | |
Check out the Jacob Malkoun vs Torrez Finney prediction for UFC 325 on Saturday, January 31, along with my betting preview and breakdown.
Here's my Malkoun vs Finney pick and prediction.
Tale of the Tape
| Malkoun | Finney | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-3 | 11-0 |
| Avg. Fight Time | 10:02 | 10:28 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'8" |
| Weight (pounds) | 185 lbs. | 185 lbs. |
| Reach (inches) | 73" | 75" |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Date of birth | 8/26/1995 | 10/24/1998 |
| Sig Strikes Per Min | 3.86 | 1.77 |
| SS Accuracy | 56% | 68% |
| SS Absorbed Per Min | 2.48 | 1.74 |
| SS Defense | 52% | 48% |
| Take Down Avg | 6.62 | 9.31 |
| TD Acc | 42% | 60% |
| TD Def | 20% | 0% |
| Submission Avg | 0.4 | 1.1 |
Malkoun vs Finney Pick, Prediction
Torrez Finney is a highly popular underdog this week, with fans and bettors backing him at roughly a 63% clip in my data sample, compared to implied odds closer to 43%.
As a result, my model has Malkoun as my most significant projected moneyline edge on Saturday's card; I set his fair odds at -213 (68.1% implied) and would bet Malkoun up to -195.
Moreover, I project this fight to reach a decision nearly two-thirds of the time (projected -196), and I would bet the distance or decision prop to -180 (listed -167).
Both men are dominant control grapplers, with each above 90% in control rate in clinch and grappling exchanges. Finney has attempted a ridiculous 58 takedowns per five minutes at distance; however, he lands very little damage in the clinch or on the mat, and his range striking is still a work in progress.
I'd expect Malkoun to either deny takedown attempts from Finney or to scramble back to his feet consistently and look to fight his way to a single leg attempt or back to striking range.
At range, Malkoun is the superior distance striker (+0.8 to -2.7 per minute), although Finney is the better, more powerful athlete.
My primary concern on the Malkoun side is that he last competed in March of 2024 and pulled out of a scheduled bout in 2025 (against Rodolfo Vieira) with an injury; otherwise, I think he presents a very difficult test for Finney's style.
Considering the cage rust – and the possibility that he needs to rely on after getting taken down early, you can also target Malkoun live after Round 1.
Lastly, considering I like both Malkoun to win and the fight to reach a decision, I also show an edge on Malkoun by decision (projected +135, listed +175), either straight to +150 or as a round-robin leg.
Projection: Malkoun (68.1%)
Sean's Picks:
- Jacob Malkoun (-139, 0.5u) at BetRivers; bet to -195
- Fight Goes to Decision (-159, 0.25u) at BetRivers; bet to -180
- Jacob Malkoun Live after Round 1
