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Bucks vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - March 27, 2025

Bucks at Nuggets

1:00 am • ALT

Milwaukee Bucks

4-1
117
117 - 127

Denver Nuggets

3-1
127

Bucks at Nuggets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bucks
4-1
+2.5
+11.5-105
o228-110
+452
Nuggets
3-1
u226.5
-11.5-115
u228-110
-612
location pinThursday 1:00 a.m.
March 27, 2025
Ball ArenaDenver
Bucks vs. Nuggets Expert Picks
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 66-88-2 (-15.1u)
MIL +7.5 (Live)-105
0.5u
Brian Condon
Brian Condon
Last 30d: 3-14-0 (-4.9u)
M.Porter o15.5 Pts-116
0.86u
Joker is back and surprisingly MPJ is significantly worse with Jokic out. Big man elevates MPJ: 21 overs. 6 unders. when Jokic plays at home 3 overs. 11 unders. When Jokic is out
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 107-110-1 (-15.1u)
DEN -182
0.55u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 67-79-3 (-8.9u)
N.Jokic u48.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
1.15u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIL +6.5 (1H)-108
1u
MIL +270 (1H)
1u
MIL +10.5-110
1u
MIL +365
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 183-169-1 (-7.3u)
N.Jokic u12.5 Rebs+100
3u
19.32% ev pinny line -172
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 128-110-4 (+11.0u)
DEN -4.5-110
0.91u
Jokic back at home? Yeah, give me Denver. Bucks down Lillard (DVT), Portis (suspension), Sims (thumb) — Giannis can't carry it all. Nuggets score 120.7 PPG (3rd), hit 50.5% FG (2nd), and shoot even better at Ball Arena — 122.7 PPG and 50.5% FG at home. Bucks allowing 117 PPG on the road. Milwaukee's defense slipping: 45.4% Opp FG, 46.9% allowed on the road, gave up 118.6 PPG over last 5. Denver offense humming even without Jokic — Murray averaging 33.5 PPG last two, Watson just dropped 24. Now Jokic likely returns: 29.1 PPG, 12.8 REB, 10.3 AST. Huge boost inside & out. Denver owns the matchup — covered 4 of last 6 vs MIL at home. Bucks 6-2 ATS last 8 but fading late, offense dipped to 107.2 PPG over last 5. Denver outrebounds, shoots better, and brings more firepower at altitude. Nuggets need the win to hold playoff seeding — this spot matters.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 183-169-1 (-7.3u)
G.Antetokounmpo u11.5 Rebs+110
1u
5.91% ev pinny line -117
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 32-31-0 (-0.8u)
G.Antetokounmpo o50.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-117
1.17u
49.5 on Dk
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 183-169-1 (-7.3u)
R.Westbrook u25.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110
0.55u
3.06% ev pinny line -135
M.Porter o7.5 Rebs+105
0.63u
3.39% ev pinny line -117
B.Lopez u25.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-130
0.9u
3.5% ev pinny line -163
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 73-75-2 (-15.7u)
MIL +6-105
3u

Bucks vs. Nuggets Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Bucks vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Bucks

Public

Home Logo

Nuggets

53%

Bets%

47%

Money%

NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Nuggets are 3-1 in their last 5 games.
  • Nuggets are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Nuggets are 1-1 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nuggets' last 4 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Nuggets' 2 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nuggets		3-12-01-13-00-1
Bucks		5-03-02-01-04-0

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Nuggets		3-11-12-02-11-0
Bucks		4-13-01-11-03-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nuggets		3-1N/AN/A3-00-1
Bucks		4-1N/AN/A1-03-1

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Mar 25thCHIL 119-129-2.5 LO 239CHI -135
Mar 23rd@HOUW 116-111+8 WO 223DEN +260
Mar 22nd@PORL 109-128-1.5 LO 227.5POR -130
Mar 20th@LALL 108-120+5.5 LO 224LAL +177
Mar 18th@GSWW 114-105+13 WU 232.5DEN +525

Nuggets vs. Bucks Injury Updates

Nuggets Injuries

    Bucks Injuries

    • Giannis Antetokounmpo
      PF

      Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) out Thursday.

      Out

    • Kyle Kuzma
      PF

      Kyle Kuzma (ankle) now doubtful Sunday.

      Doubtful

    • Cole Anthony
      PG

      Cole Anthony (illness) now questionable Sunday.

      Questionable

    See more NBA Injuries Right Arrow
    Player Stats
    • scoring
      Nikola Jokic logo
      Nikola Jokic
      39
      ppg
    • rebounding
      player logo
      -
      10
      rpg
    • assists
      Nikola Jokic logo
      Nikola Jokic
      10
      apg
    • shooting
      player logo
      -
      77.8
      fg%
    Team Stats

    46-89 (52%)
    Field Goals
    49-90 (54%)
    9-13 (69%)
    Free Throws
    13-22 (59%)
    16-37 (43%)
    3P
    16-37 (43%)
    39
    Rebounds
    46
    30
    Assists
    36
    Turnovers
    4
    Steals
    6
    6
    Blocks
    4
    14
    Fouls
    12

    Bucks vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison

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    Bucks at Nuggets Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Bucks
    4-1
    o107.5-110
    u107.5-110
    Nuggets
    3-1
    o119.5-118
    u119.5-102