Lakers vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - February 23, 2025

He’s averaged 8.3 ast/g with Luka (3 games), but my Pass Mix™️ shows him with 9.5 ast/g expected based on who he’s passing it to now, but this includes Luka only shooting 38% on his passes, so once he settles in closer to his expected rates, it’s only going to boost Lebron’s expected ast rate even more

Yet another matchup between the Lakers and the Nuggets in Prime Time. The Nuggets face off against the Lakers tonight and MPJ continually dominates this matchup. He averaged 9.1 rebounds per game against the Lakers while exceeding this line in 14/15 games. Things are obviously a bit different without Anthony Davis, but MPJ’s minutes and role should remain secure here. MPJ is averaging 7 rebounds per game over his last 20 games and I expect him to continue his strong play against a Lakers team that has not fully gelled on the offensive side of the ball. I’d rather play the +$ number here than the juiced 5.5 given the matchup and the history

Don’t tail, let me go down alone on this one

#Tailing @JoeDellera

He’s averaging 19.1 points per game this season so it’s right at his season average, and projections have him also at 19.78 points over 35 minutes. But in the small sample with Luka Doncic on the court, Reaves has seen his scoring slightly down. Using CourtIQ, Reaves has averaged 14.65 points per 36 minutes with Luka on the court. He won’t spend all 36 minutes alongside Luka as they’ll stagger them so take this 14.65 number with a grain of salt, and this is a small 41-minute sample, but this has me liking the under here with Luka’s role and comfort growing in this offense.

🔑 Lakers +6.5 -112 (FanDuel) 2.5u This is a great spot for LA. Nuggets have won 9 straight, I think this is a great spot for a let down. Not sure if they lose outright but I think this will be much closer than the line says. Lakers are 13-9 ATS as dogs, love this spot for them tn