Pistons vs. Pelicans Odds & Betting Predictions - March 18, 2025

Duren has a DD in 9/12 games since the break where he's played 23+ MIN - AVG 14.3/11.1 on 8.3 FGA and ~20.3 RC. NOP is a great rebounding MU for C - they allow the most RPG to C on the season and over the L15 games. L15 they rank middle of the pack in PPG to C and are bottom-10 in FREQ% less than 10 FT but I think the emphasis here is on Cade, as they also rank bottom-10 in pullup FREQ% since the break and 4th lowest PnR FREQ% to the BH. They also rank bottom-10 in FREQ% to the roller but when they do allow those opportunities, they allow the highest PPP. Duren has 10+ PTS in 15/18 vs. the T10 in PPP w/ 20+ MIN. NOP do allow the 2nd highest putback FREQ% - Duren AVG the 4th most putback possessions per game. 10+ PTS in 14/18 vs. the T10 in FREQ%. Missi is available and isn't a big who stretches the floor, so Duren should always be in rebound position. Since Murray went down, NOP rank bottom-10 in pullup/PnR FREQ%, so Duren shouldn't be put into too many actions either. He has 10+ REB in 17/21 vs. teams T10 in RPG to C w/ 20+ MIN.

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Detroit’s offense rolling—114.8 PPG, top 10 in FG% (47.5%). Cade Cunningham leads with 46.1% shooting, 1679 total points. Pelicans’ defense collapsing—allowing 119.0 PPG, 48.3% opponent FG%. They rank bottom five in defensive efficiency. Last 10 games: NO giving up 121.0 PPG, worst in NBA. Pistons dominate as road favorites—21-11-2 ATS away, 6-1-1 ATS in last 8 road games. Pelicans struggling at home, 12-22 SU. Detroit’s transition game thrives—25.3 fastbreak PPG (top 5). NO’s rebounding weak—giving up 46.2 RPG, bottom 10. Detroit exploits second-chance points. Pelicans’ offense inconsistent—just 110.8 PPG, 45.2% FG. Zion’s efficiency high but needs help. McCollum shooting only 44.4%, team ranks 26th in assists. Pistons’ defense improving—opponents held to 113.2 PPG in last 5. Detroit covers big spreads against weak teams.