Locky: Are the Warriors Due for a Vintage Defensive Performance?


Clint Capela and Draymond Green. Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

I warned everyone beforehand that I would be near dormant this entire series, and degenerates everywhere are once again going to be disappointed. Not even a lean on the spread. I’m just the worst.

I think this number (the Warriors are 7.5-point favorites as of Friday evening) is excellent. It’s basically what I thought the number would be. It’s basically what I thought the number should be. Yes, I think Golden State wins the game a high percentage of the time, but of course that is reflected in the moneyline for each team.

Where is the edge? You want to back Houston off its A++ game, now traveling to a face a team with a significant home-court advantage? You want to back Golden State already getting a ton of credit and with Stephen Curry clearly not 100% (and the team needing at least two of Curry/Kevin Durant/Klay Thompson to score significantly to win any game this series?) Again, not a lot to like.

OK, fine, you want a lean? The total has stayed in the same range throughout the series, hovering between 225 and 226.5 in all three games. Following Houston’s strong offensive output in Game 2, which should regress a little, and with the possibility that the well-rested Warriors may give you one of their classic defensive performances, of which there have been a couple in the playoffs already, I’ll lean under at 226.5. A strong defensive showing from Golden State is seemingly more likely than in most other times this postseason.

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories