After hitting on both games yesterday, I’ve found two more that look good to keep the streak going tonight.
Nets (3-2) @ Knicks (0-3)
Twice already we’ve relied on the Knicks struggling to score, and we’ll do so again tonight. Their one-dimensional offense centers around Kristaps Porzingis, and so far this season his wing players aren’t providing him with any help.
Tim Hardaway Jr. has been awful, averaging 9.3 points on 24.3 percent shooting. Courtney Lee isn’t going to fill the box score, either, with his 8.7 points, 2.1 rebounds and 2.3 assist averages about as good as it’s ever going to get for him at 32 years old. The defense-free Enes Kanter is the only Knicks player other than Porzingis to score in double figures.
At 30th in the league with an average of 93.3 points per game, scoring is at a premium for the Knicks. Their shot chart paints the best picture:
The Nets, on the other hand, lead the league with 121.2 points per game. Seven players in the active rotation average double figures, and they’ve even been able to keep up the league-leading pace with Jeremy Lin and D’Angelo Russell missing time.
Russell is doubtful for this one, but with the way the Nets find and feed the hot hand, I like them to cover as an away dog tonight.
Pick: Nets +2
Rockets (4-1) @ Hornets (2-2)
Perhaps it’s the plethora of injuries the Rockets are dealing with at the moment, but after being one of the NBA’s most potent 3-point shooting teams last season, they’re ranked 29th at 28.1 percent on 42 attempts per game.
Chris Paul and Trevor Ariza are out and Ryan Anderson is doubtful. At this rate, it’s going to be the James Harden show, but not even he has been able to score more than 30 points in his five games in 2017-18. His longest run of sub-30 point games was only four last season.
Tonight, an impressive Hornets defense stands in their way.
— Charlotte Hornets (@hornets) October 26, 2017
Charlotte ranks sixth in opponent points per game (97.7) and 5th in opponent 3-point percentage (29.2 percent). They’ve kept two of their four opponents under 94 points, relying on their defense to win games.
I like the Rockets at -3, but with a combined 1-8 record against the under so far this season, I’m more confident in the Hornets defense keeping this one low scoring.
Pick: Under 214
Spurs (4-0) @ Magic (3-1)
- Spurs are 3-1 ATS
- Spurs are ranked second in opponent points (93.3 per game)
- Magic are third in points (119 per game)
- Magic are second in effective field goal percentage (55.3 percent)
Nuggets (1-3) @ Hawks (1-4)
- Hawks are playing the second night of a back-to-back
- Dennis Schroder has missed the last two games
- Nuggets are 0-4 against the under
- Nuggets are 0-2 playing away
Thunder (2-2) @ Timberwolves (2-3)
- Jimmy Butler is listed as day-to-day
- Timberwolves are 1-4 ATS
- Thunder are ranked fifth in defensive rating (98.9)
Wizards (3-1) @ Warriors (3-2)
- Wizards are 1-3 ATS
- Warriors are 1-4 ATS
- Warriors are second in points (120 per game)
- Wizards are 25th in opponent field goal percentage (47 percent)
Raptors (2-2) @ Lakers (2-2)
- Raptors are 3-1 ATS
- Raptors are fifth in points (113.5 per game)
- Lakers lead the league in pace (107.7 percent)
- Lakers are 27th in opponent points (114 per game)