Three NBA Prop Bets for Thursday Night
Justin Ford- USA Today Sports
Tonight’s NBA slate features just four games, but you’re crazy if you think that’ll stop us from finding some action. The FantasyLabs Player Prop tool leverages our NBA projections against five of the most popular online sportsbooks, which helps identify potentially exploitable prop bets. There are currently three props with a Bet Quality of 10, while another nine props check in with a Bet Quality of at least eight.
Here are three props I have my eye on for tonight’s slate, featuring players in games that start at 8 and 10:30 p.m. ET.
Cavaliers PG George Hill over 11.5 points (-135 at Bovada)
8 p.m. ET | TNT
No one on the Cavs outside of LeBron James has a more secure role at the moment than Hill. He played 36.5 minutes in his most recent game and has posted a usage rate of at least 21 percent in three of his past four games. Today’s game against Philadelphia should be up-tempo — the 76ers currently rank fifth in the league in pace — which could result in a few additional shot attempts for Hill. This line opened up at 10.5 points but quickly shot up to 11.5, which indicates that there could be some sharp activity on this prop, as well.
76ers SF Robert Covington under five rebounds (+105 at Bovada)
8 p.m. ET | TNT
Covington has been mired in a deep shooting slump, and it’s starting to cost him some playing time. The 76ers’ addition of Marco Belinelli has resulted in Covington playing fewer than 30 minutes in four of his past five games. He’s only gone for over five rebounds in one of those contests, which makes getting better than even money on this prop pretty enticing.
Wolves SG Andrew Wiggins under 22 points (-130 at BetOnline)
10:30 p.m. | TNT
Wiggins has seen a slight bump in scoring since the injury to Jimmy Butler, but it hasn’t really been due to an increase in usage. While he’s posted usage rates of just 22.2 and 24.9 percent over his past two games, Wiggins has made a combined 18 of 33 shots (54.5 percent). Given that Wiggins is a career 44.8 percent shooter, he seems due for some regression. The Blazers are also a solid defensive team, currently ranking 10th in defensive efficiency. Wiggins has averaged just 16.7 points per game against them in three previous matchups this season.
Top photo: George Hill and LeBron James; credit: Justin Ford- USA Today Sports