The Dallas Mavericks (19-36) and Indiana Pacers (15-42) will face off in the NBA this evening. Tipoff is set for 5:00 p.m. ET from the Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana. The game will broadcast live on FDSIN.
The Mavericks are 1.5-point favorites over the Pacers on the spread (Mavericks -1.5), with the over/under set at 233.5 total points. Dallas is a -125 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Indiana is +105 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Mavericks vs. Pacers predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, February 22.
Mavericks vs Pacers Prediction
- Mavericks vs Pacers pick: Mavericks Moneyline (-125)
Our Mavericks vs. Pacers best bet is on Dallas moneyline at -125. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Mavericks vs Pacers Odds
| Mavericks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 233.5 -110o / -110u | -125 |
| Pacers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 233.5 -110o / -110u | +105 |
Mavericks vs Pacers NBA Preview
The Dallas Mavericks head into this matchup with a 19-36 record and are just 5-19 on the road, sitting 12th in the Western Conference.
It’s been a terrible stretch for Dallas, as they’ve dropped 10 straight games and are desperate to stop the slide in Indianapolis.
The Mavs will be without No. 1 pick Cooper Flagg, who remains out with a foot injury. His absence continues to limit a team that’s already struggling to find answers on both ends of the floor.
Indiana hasn’t had it much better.
The Pacers are 15-42 on the season, 10-18 at home, and sit last in the Eastern Conference. It’s been one of their worst starts in years, though they’ve managed to pick up a few wins recently.
Still, momentum is fragile. A pair of losses to the Wizards ended a six-game road trip in which Rick Carlisle’s team won just twice.
Injuries are also piling up, with Aaron Nesmith ruled out and several key players — including Andrew Nembhard, T.J. McConnell, Pascal Siakam, Kam Jones, and Micah Potter — listed as questionable.
With both teams struggling and dealing with roster issues, this matchup feels like a chance for one side to finally catch a break and reset its momentum.
Mavericks vs Pacers Predictions, Betting Analysis
This NBA moneyline betting system identifies NBA regular-season matchups where efficient but undervalued teams face opponents with poor defensive metrics.
When a team’s underlying performance indicators, such as Pythagorean strength, exceed public perception, the betting market often undervalues them against weak defensive opponents who allow high scoring efficiency.
These games typically feature modest moneylines that signal balance but overlook the defensive mismatch.
Slight movement toward the undervalued side reinforces that bettors are slowly recognizing the edge, yet the market remains mispriced.
Over recent seasons, this pattern has rewarded teams whose true performance levels are masked by variance while exploiting opponents that consistently fail to contain efficient offenses, creating a steady opportunity on the moneyline
Pick: Mavericks Moneyline (-125)
Spread
We will be backing the Mavericks on the moneyline instead of the spread in this game.
Moneyline
Our Pacers vs. Mavericks betting prediction is on Dallas moneyline at -125.
Over/Under
We are staying away from the game total.
Pacers vs Mavericks Betting Trends
