Game 4 Trends: Pay Attention to Spread Dollars on the Warriors

Jun 08, 2018 3:30 PM EDT

The Action Network analysts John Ewing and Evan Abrams comb the Bet Labs database each day to bring you profitable trends for the slate. Here are notable historical trends for Cavs-Warriors Game 4.

When facing elimination, LeBron James has gone 14-9 straight-up and 15-8 against-the-spread. In home elimination games, he has gone 10-3 straight-up and 9-4 ATS. All that said, as an underdog in elimination games, he’s gone just 4-8 straight-up and 7-5 ATS.

In the NBA Finals since 2005 (not counting Game 7s), teams facing elimination have gone 7-9 straight-up and ATS. Underdogs in these games have gone 3-6 straight-up and 5-4 ATS.

Golden State is a 4.5-point favorite in Game 4. More than 60% of spread tickets are on the Warriors, but an even higher percentage of spread dollars are backing the Dubs. Since we started tracking spread dollars in 2016, playoff favorites receiving a higher percentage of spread dollars than tickets have gone 86-47-1 (65%) ATS. See live betting market figures here.

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Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Klay Thompson

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