The Golden State Warriors (37-45) will visit the Phoenix Suns (45-37) in the final game of the NBA Play-In Tournament tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET from the Mortgage Matchup Center in Phoenix, Arizona. The game will broadcast live on Amazon Prime Video.
The Suns are 3-point favorites over the Warriors on the spread (Suns -3), with the over/under set at 219.5 total points. Phoenix is a -155 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Golden State is +130 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Warriors vs. Suns predictions and NBA picks for Friday, April 17.
Warriors vs Suns Prediction
- Warriors vs Suns pick: Suns -3
My Suns vs. Warriors best bet is on Phoenix to cover the spread (-3). Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Warriors vs Suns Odds
| Warriors Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -105 | 219.5 -110o / -110u | +130 |
| Suns Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -115 | 219.5 -110o / -110u | -155 |
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Warriors vs Suns NBA Play-In Tournament Preview
Phoenix Suns Betting Preview
Favorites in the second play-in tournament game are 8-0 SU and ATS. I make the spread for this game Suns -4.3.
Additionally, no 7-seed has ever failed to make the playoffs in the five years of the play-in tournament; the Suns would be the first.
Steph Curry had a masterful game in Los Angeles in the opening round of the play-in — but this is the Warriors' second straight road game.
The 10-seeds are 1-9 in making the playoffs, and the Heat were actually favored last year.
Phoenix has been the better team all season — and even with Steph back, the Warriors may have hit their high point in the win over the Clippers, which was a game against an old rival with familiar faces.
Golden State Warriors Betting Preview
It’s tempting to back the old grizzled 'dogs to once more make a run — but the reality is that the Warriors are banged up, tired, and don’t have the legs right now.
Kristaps Porzingis will likely have issues against the Suns’ physical defense — and Phoenix has great guards like Jordan Goodwin to chase Curry around.
Warriors vs Suns Pick, Betting Analysis
Suns -3
I’ll go light on this one. The Suns have been slipping for a while and don’t have the best player on the floor.
However, after a pretty outlier bad performance against the Blazers last game, I think they snap back here and make the playoffs.
Under 219.5 (Lean)
I make the total right on the money at 219.5, and I lean toward the under.
The Warriors’ offense lacks firepower despite Curry’s heroics, and the Suns are much more of a grind-it-out team.
It should be noted that the Warriors and Suns rank 1st and 7th in three-point rate, respectively.
If these teams heat up, this will blow over the total — but both defenses know that coming in.
I’ll stay away from the total and stick with the Suns’ side.
Pick: Suns -3 (-115)
