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The Portland Trail Blazers (3-0) and Golden State Warriors (3-2) will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. ET from Chase Center in San Francisco, Calif. The game will be broadcast live on NBCS-BA.
The Trail Blazers are 2.5-point favorites on the spread, with the over/under set at 225.5 total points. The Trail Blazers are -166 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Warriors are listed as +140 underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Trail Blazers vs. Warriors predictions and NBA picks for Friday, October 16.
Trail Blazers vs Warriors Prediction
- Trail Blazers vs Warriors pick: Warriors moneyline (+140, DraftKings)
My Trail Blazers vs Warriors best bet is on Golden State to pull off the upset and win this NBA preseason game outright, with the best price currently available at DraftKings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Trail Blazers vs Warriors Odds
- Trail Blazers vs Warriors spread: Trail Blazers -3.5 (-110), Warriors +3.5 (-110)
- Trail Blazers vs Warriors over/under: 225.5 (-111o / -111u)
- Trail Blazers vs Warriors moneyline: Trail Blazers -166, Warriors +140
Trail Blazers vs Warriors NBA Preview
It is the second time this NBA preseason the Trail Blazers and Warriors will face off, with Portland earning a 123-118 win at home back on October 7. But things could be much different when they meet at the Chase Center in San Francisco on Friday night.
The Blazers got off to a hot start in that game, winning the first quarter 36-31 and never looked back. Now, one reason for that fast start was that the Warriors fielded a lineup of guys who may not be on the opening-night roster.
But most of Golden State's starters, including Stephen Curry, are expected to start tonight and should be well-rested, as they haven't played since Tuesday. The Warriors have also won two preseason games in a row and are 3-2 overall.
Meanwhile, Portland is a perfect 3-0 in preseason action, and coach Micah Nori hasn't been shy about running his starters for long stretches in these exhibition games.
Trail Blazers vs Warriors Pick, Betting Analysis
NBA preseason moneylines can create value on underdogs that were competitive but not dominant the previous season, as exhibition games often reduce the importance of the talent gap reflected in regular season records.
That has us targeting the Warriors on the moneyline on Friday night.
Evan Abrams "Outright Dog (Preseason)" system targets underdogs coming off seasons with 33 to 46 wins when the closing total is at least two hundred five, identifying games expected to feature enough scoring to create additional volatility.
With starters playing uncertain minutes and coaches relying heavily on reserves, these middle-tier teams can remain competitive deep into games and turn underdog opportunities into outright wins.
This Action Labs system is 6-9 this preseason with a 6% ROI and has a 20% ROI all-time.
Golden State is expected to give their starters more minutes in this game, and while Portland's starters, including Dame Lillard and Ja Morant, have looked solid, they have some questions defensively and with their depth.
The Warriors will keep this close and are providing solid value on the moneyline.
Pick: Warriors moneyline (+140, DraftKings)
Trail Blazers vs Warriors Betting Trends
