Monday NBA PrizePicks Player Props: Deandre Ayton, Tobias Harris Offer Upside (May 2)
Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: Tobias Harris #12 of the Philadelphia 76ers, Duncan Robinson #55 of the Miami Heat.
Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.
With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to tie together game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.
Here are two props I like on today’s NBA playoff slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
NBA PrizePicks Parlay
Deandre Ayton Over 10.5 Rebounds
The Phoenix Suns had a scare in round one that was unexpected, but now get to host a Dallas Mavericks team that they swept during the season. The Suns are 5.5-point home favorites in their first meeting as they look to get back to the NBA Finals. Both teams should be fully healthy and ready to roll in this one.
Deandre Ayton has come into his own for the Suns during this playoff run. He averaged 29.5 minutes per game during the regular season, but has bumped that up to 35 per game in the playoffs. He had trouble going up against Jonas Valanciunas and the New Orleans Pelicans, but won’t have any trouble tonight.
The Mavericks present a difficult task from a scoring perspective because they play extremely slow. They ranked last in pace this season, and this game has a relatively low 214.5-point total.
Where the Mavericks really struggle is in their frontcourt. Ayton has averaged 16 rebounds per game over the last four games against the Mavericks. He is playing too well to ignore in this matchup.
Ayton averaged a double-double for the fourth-straight season on 17.2 points and 10.2 rebounds per game. With his minutes increasing in the playoffs and his recent production against the Mavericks, he should feast in this matchup.
Ayton is -115 at 11.5 rebounds on DraftKings Sportsbook, giving him value at getting over 10.5 rebounds tonight on PrizePicks. It’s great spot for Ayton tonight.
Tobias Harris Over 16.5 Points
After squeaking by the Toronto Raptors in six games, the Philadelphia 76ers get set to take on the Miami Heat, who beat the Atlanta Hawks in five games. The major news for the 76ers is the loss of Joel Embiid, who is at least out for the first two games in this series. The Heat are 7.5-point favorites tonight.
Embiid ranked second in the league in usage rate with 36.9%. He also led the league in scoring, averaging a career-high 30.6 points per game. Obviously losing Embiid is a massive loss for the 76ers. We can take advantage of that with a Tobias Harris prop. I love both his over points and rebounds in this spot.
I’m going with the points for Harris because in nine games without Embiid this season, he is averaging 19 points per game and has increased his usage rate by nearly 8%. If the 76ers want to be competitive tonight, they will need a strong game from Harris. He averaged 17.8 points per game in the first round and averaged 19 points while shooting 51.7% from the field against the Heat.
The Heat had the fourth-best defensive rating during the regular season and rank second so far among the playoff teams. This matchup will be tough, but the usage rate and production has been too good to ignore Harris tonight.
He is also a -125 to score over 17.5 points in the DraftKings. This line is too low and this is a great spot to target Harris in game one for the 76ers.
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