Pelicans vs. Jazz PRO Report: Projections, Systems Reveal Spread Betting Value (Thursday, Jan. 21)
Melissa Majchrzak/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Zion WIlliamson
- Zion Williamson and the New Orleans Pelicans travel to Salt Lake City, Utah to take on the Jazz in Thursday night NBA action.
- Danny Donahue breaks down the game odds and leverages our NBA PRO Report to uncover betting value. The Pelicans and Jazz fit a PRO System while also reporting a strong grade in our model projections -- but which side is the value on? Find out below.
NBA Odds: Pelicans vs. Jazz
|PRO Projection||UTA -5.6|
|Time||10 p.m. ET|
Only three games will tip off in the NBA tonight, which makes finding betting value a bit less likely. It certainly doesn’t make it impossible, though, as evidenced by our PRO Report.
Note: Odds, data as of 12 p.m. ET.
NBA Pick: Pelicans vs. Jazz
Two value indicators have lit up on the same side of tonight’s Pelicans-Jazz matchup. A historically profitable betting system and our NBA model’s projection are each suggesting a bet on the Pelicans.
We break down each of them below.
Historically speaking, the Pelicans are in a spot tonight that tends to cover the spread — at least at a rate high enough to return a significant profit.
As a road underdog coming off of an ATS loss, and going up against a team that covered its last game, New Orleans finds itself in an undervalued position, and is therefore a match for our Road Dogs Off ATS Loss PRO System, which has returned a 55% cover rate on a sample of more than 1,800 games since 2005.
You can learn more about all our PRO Systems here.
PRO Systems edge: Pelicans
Our NBA betting model is on the same side as history, suggesting there’s a bit of inflation in tonight’s spread number.
It pegs the true line at Pelicans +5.6, giving New Orleans more than a point of remaining value, and a B- value grade.
Find all of our NBA model’s projections here.
Model Projections edge: Pelicans