Pelicans vs. Jazz PRO Report: Projections, Systems Reveal Spread Betting Value (Thursday, Jan. 21)

Pelicans vs. Jazz PRO Report: Projections, Systems Reveal Spread Betting Value (Thursday, Jan. 21) article feature image
Credit:

Melissa Majchrzak/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Zion WIlliamson

  • Zion Williamson and the New Orleans Pelicans travel to Salt Lake City, Utah to take on the Jazz in Thursday night NBA action.
  • Danny Donahue breaks down the game odds and leverages our NBA PRO Report to uncover betting value. The Pelicans and Jazz fit a PRO System while also reporting a strong grade in our model projections -- but which side is the value on? Find out below.

NBA Odds: Pelicans vs. Jazz

Pelicans Odds +7
Jazz Odds -7
Over/Under 216.5
PRO Projection UTA -5.6
Time 10 p.m. ET
TV TNT
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Only three games will tip off in the NBA tonight, which makes finding betting value a bit less likely. It certainly doesn’t make it impossible, though, as evidenced by our PRO Report.

Note: Odds, data as of 12 p.m. ET.


NBA Pick: Pelicans vs. Jazz

Two value indicators have lit up on the same side of tonight’s Pelicans-Jazz matchup. A historically profitable betting system and our NBA model’s projection are each suggesting a bet on the Pelicans.

We break down each of them below.

PRO Systems

Historically speaking, the Pelicans are in a spot tonight that tends to cover the spread — at least at a rate high enough to return a significant profit.

As a road underdog coming off of an ATS loss, and going up against a team that covered its last game, New Orleans finds itself in an undervalued position, and is therefore a match for our Road Dogs Off ATS Loss PRO System, which has returned a 55% cover rate on a sample of more than 1,800 games since 2005.

You can learn more about all our PRO Systems here.

PRO Systems edge: Pelicans

Model Projections

Our NBA betting model is on the same side as history, suggesting there’s a bit of inflation in tonight’s spread number.

It pegs the true line at Pelicans +5.6, giving New Orleans more than a point of remaining value, and a B- value grade.

Find all of our NBA model’s projections here.

Model Projections edge: Pelicans

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Best bets for every game

Our NBA model’s biggest nightly edges

Profitable data-driven system picks

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