The NBA regular season is back in action with an excellent slate of games this Wednesday, with a total of seven matchups on the docket scheduled for today. So, our staff of basketball betting experts dug into the latest odds and identified NBA picks for all seven of tonight's contests.
Continue below for our NBA picks, odds, props, and predictions for Wednesday, February 4.
NBA Picks, Predictions, Props for Wednesday, February 4
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7:30 p.m. | |
  | 7 p.m. | |
  | 9:30 p.m. | |
  | 8 p.m. | |
  | 10 p.m. | |
  | 8 p.m. | |
  | 10:30 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Timberwolves vs. Raptors
By Alex Hinton
The Raptors do a great job of guarding the 3-point line overall, but they are 19th in 3-pointers allowed to small forwards this season.
That should benefit Jaden McDaniels, who comes into this game hot.
He is averaging 16.7 points over his last 10 games, while shooting 62.5% from behind the arc.
McDaniels has made two 3-pointers in seven of his last 10 games, including five against the Thunder and Grizzlies.
Pick: Jaden McDaniels Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made (+110)
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Nuggets vs. Knicks
By Bet Labs
This NBA spread betting system focuses on identifying road teams that maintain strong performance despite a heavy schedule.
During the regular season, these teams play frequently — four or more times in the past six days — but still have at least one day of rest before their next game.
Facing travel fatigue and consistent competition, they are often undervalued by oddsmakers, particularly when the line moves slightly against them from open to close.
The market tends to overreact to perceived exhaustion and recent workload, inflating spreads and creating value on disciplined, well-conditioned teams that thrive with limited rest.
These situations reward squads with rhythm and continuity, especially on the road where focus and execution often outweigh fatigue narratives.
Pick: Nuggets +6.5 (-110)
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Thunder vs. Spurs
By Joe Dellera
The Spurs face off against the Thunder today in what has become a mini rivalry between these two teams.
As good as Oklahoma City is, one of the Thunder's weak points is they allow spot-up shooters to have success against them.
Much of this is because they have excellent defenders at the point of attack, and the opposing teams' primary ball-handlers are generally forced into a little bit more of a distributing role as opposed to a scoring one.
While Devin Vassell can create for himself a bit, his primary strength revolves around his sharp shooting.
He has been solid in this matchup as well, going over this line in 2-of-3 games against the Thunder this season, and in five straight prior to his last miss against them.
Considering Oklahoma City is on a back-to-back as well, the Thunder may sit a player or two, which could help open things up.
Couple this with the fact that Vassell seems to be playing without any type of minute restriction at this point in his fifth came back from injury, and this sets up as a nice spot for him.
Pick: Devin Vassell Over 12.5 Points (-108)
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Celtics vs. Rockets
By Kyle Murray
My NBA player prop projection model shows value on under 24.5 points, rebounds, and assists for Rockets' forward Jabari Smith against the Celtics tonight.
The model projects a 61.4% win rate, which implies an expected 6.85% edge.
Pick: Jabari Smith Under 23.5 Points, Rebounds, & Assists (-102)
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Grizzlies vs. Kings
By Bet Labs
This NBA moneyline system assumes that the betting market and casual bettors slightly overvalue home court in tightly lined games, creating quiet value on the visiting team when it is a small underdog.
By requiring that the team we back is on the road and that the game is in the regular season, the system focuses on meaningful contests where both teams are motivated and talent levels are close.
Limiting the spread percentage and the point spread itself to a narrow band between a pick'em and -6.5 points targets matchups where the road side is clearly competitive but still priced as the less likely winner, largely because the public prefers the perceived safety of a short home favorite.
In these situations the visiting underdog often has comparable talent, fresher legs in certain schedule spots, or matchup advantages that are not fully captured in the line, so consistently siding with that road team aims to exploit these small but repeatable inefficiencies in how the market prices homecourt advantage.
Pick: Grizzlies Moneyline (-105)
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Pelicans vs. Bucks
By Bet Labs
This NBA system identifies regular season matchups where efficient but undervalued teams face opponents with poor defensive metrics.
When a team’s underlying performance indicators, such as Pythagorean strength, exceed public perception, the betting market often undervalues them against weak defensive opponents who allow high scoring efficiency.
These games typically feature modest moneylines that signal balance but overlook the defensive mismatch.
Slight movement toward the undervalued side reinforces that bettors are slowly recognizing the edge, yet the market remains mispriced.
Over recent seasons, this pattern has rewarded teams whose true performance levels are masked by variance while exploiting opponents that consistently fail to contain efficient offenses, creating a steady opportunity on the moneyline.
Pick: Pelicans Moneyline (-180)
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Cavaliers vs. Clippers
By Kyle Murray
My NBA player prop projection model shows value on over 25.5 points for Clippers' forward Kawhi Leonard against the Cavaliers tonight.
The model projects a 70.3% win rate, which implies an expected 7.31% edge.
Pick: Kawhi Leonard Over 26.5 Points (-110)
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