Betting on props can be one of the easiest ways to build your bankroll, especially in the NBA postseason. Sportsbooks tend to offer lower limits and take less action on props than they do on games, so they don’t have as much incentive to post an accurate line.
That’s where our Player Prop tool comes in handy. We compare our industry-leading NBA projections to the props posted at a variety of sportsbooks to identify the best plays each day. Each bet is then graded on a scale from 1-10, with 10 being the best possible grade.
| Win-Loss (Win Pct) | |
|---|---|
| Bet Quality of 10 | 775-572 (57%) |
| Bet Quality of 9 | 942-776 (54%) |
| Bet Quality of 8 | 1432-1263 (52%) |
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Tuesday's player props come from both of the slate’s games:
- Toronto Raptors vs. Boston Celtics at 5:30 p.m. ET on ESPN
- Denver Nuggets vs. Utah Jazz at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC
NBA Player Prop Bets
Toronto Raptors, Marc Gasol
The Prop: Over 2.5 assists (-115)
The Raptors got routed in Game 1 against the Celtics, and one of the biggest disappointments came at center. Daniel Theis had a monster game for Boston with 13 points and 15 rebounds in the pivot. In a very tight series, center is the one position on the court where Toronto has a clear advantage, and it needs to exploit that. Whether it's Marc Gasol or Serge Ibaka, Toronto needs more from its big men.
Gasol played a career-low 26.4 minutes per game this season, and he averaged only 24.9 MPG with Toronto last regular season. But as the competition ramped up, so did big Marc. He rose to 30.6 MPG in last year's playoffs and almost 32 MPG from the second round forward.
Fast forward to this season, and Gasol had played only 20.4 MPG his last 10 games before jumping to 25.8 in Game 1, even in a blowout with the bench playing late. Ibaka dominated in Round 1, but this is a Gasol series. Toronto needs Gasol out there, both for his defense and his passing and half-court creation. The Raptors will need to play through the pivot at times, letting Gasol create looks against Boston's tough defense.
Gasol has gone over 2.5 assists in five of his last 10 games, despite the lower minutes total. That includes games of five, five, six, and eight dimes. He also dished out five assists in his one regular-season game against Boston this year and eight against them in his one Raptors game against the Celtics last season.
Toronto is hunting offense, and Gasol can provide it. I'll play this one up to -140.
Utah Jazz, Rudy Gobert
The Prop: Over 11.5 rebounds (-130)
What do we know about Game 7s? We know the home team is typically a huge favorite, but that's not particularly relevant here. We know the nerves tend to creep in late, but that might relate to nervous home fans as well.
One other thing we know? You run with the guys who brought you there. This is it. The season is on the line. The best players will play every last second they can be out there.
Gobert's minutes are already rising. He played 42.8 and 41.5 minutes the last two games after averaging 36.9 MPG the first four games of the series, and that number was buoyed by five overtime minutes in Game 1, too.
Gobert's rebounding numbers have also risen. After just seven boards in each of the first two games, Gobert has 14, 11, 12, and 11 rebounds since. He's staying home near the rim more on defense, and that's giving him more rebounding opportunities. We're projecting Gobert at 14.4 rebounds tonight in 41.7 minutes, providing a real margin for error. I'll play to -155.
Utah Jazz, Joe Ingles
The Prop: Over 2.5 rebounds (-148)
In many ways, the logic for Ingles here is similar to Gobert. How many Jazz players do you trust right now? Let's count: Gobert, Donovan Mitchell, Mike Conley, Ingles, Royce O'Neale, and probably Jordan Clarkson. Six. That's it. Georges Niang? No, thank you. Juwan Morgan or Tony Bradley? Hard pass.
I expect essentially a six-man rotation from Utah tonight, and I'm not even sure Clarkson plays as much with his lack of defense and occasional mental lapses. The Jazz need every minute they can get from their starting five. I trust Joe Ingles, and I think Utah does, too. Ingles is a savvy veteran player who has played in big moments like this in international ball. He's going to be out there.
We're projecting Ingles at 32.6 minutes, and I think he may go over 35. Royce O'Neale was second on the Jazz in RPG in season, but he's got his hands full trying to defend Jamal Murray right now, so the Jazz need more boards from the perimeter guys. We're projecting Ingles at 4.1 rebounds and rate this prop a 10 out of 10. Play it to -170.
