Raybon’s Favorite NBA Props for Wednesday: Will DeAndre Ayton Secure 10 Rebounds?
Sergio Estrada-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Phoenix Suns center Deandre Ayton (22)
- Chris Raybon breaks down his favorite NBA player props for Wednesday night.
- Props include Trail Blazers PF Al-Farouq Aminu's points, as well as rebounding totals for Suns C DeAndre Ayton and Jazz PF Jae Crowder.
The three NBA player props highlighted below are from the following three games:
- Portland Trail Blazers at Chicago Bulls: 8 p.m. ET
- Washington Wizards at Phoenix Suns: 10 p.m. ET
- Los Angeles Lakers at Utah Jazz: 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN
As a reminder, our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10. All odds as of 3:30 p.m. ET. View live odds here.
Trail Blazers PF Al-Farouq Aminu
THE PICK: Under 9.5 Points (-114)
Even with C.J.McCollum (knee) and Jusuf Nurkic (leg) on the shelf, Aminu is unlikely to see a huge boost in offensive output. He tends to be less assertive on the road, averaging a 12.7% usage rate and 8.7 points in 29.7 minutes per game compared to a 13.9% usage rate and 9.9 points in 28.1 minutes at home.
The ninth-year forward has been struggling with his shot in March, shooting just 29.3% from beyond the arc. He’s also struggled to produce offense when sharing the floor with Nurkic’s most-likely replacement, Enes Kanter, averaging just 7.7 points per 36 minutes in the 88 minutes they’ve been on the floor together this season, per our NBA On/Off tool.
Aminu has cracked 26 minutes only twice in his past eight games, and the whole starting unit could see its minutes cut short against a Bulls squad that will be without four-fifths of its starting lineup in Lauri Markkanen (illness), Otto Porter (shoulder), Zach LaVine (thigh) and Kris Dunn (back).
For the season, Aminu has failed to post double-digit points in 41-of-73 (56.2%) games, so this prop should have value up to -128.
Suns C DeAndre Ayton
THE PICK: Over 9.5 Rebounds (-120)
Ayton is one of the highest-rated DFS plays in our NBA Player Models and should be able to reach double-digit rebounds against a Wizards squad on the second leg of an opposite-coast road back-to-back.
Since the All-Star break, the Wizards have allowed the ninth-most rebounds per 48 minutes to opposing centers (15.8, per Hoops Stats), and they watched Ayton snatch 17 boards in 38.5 minutes in an overtime win over the Suns on Dec. 22. (Bobby Portis wasn’t yet with the Wizards for that game, but their projected starting center for tonight, Thomas Bryant, started and played more than 35 minutes.)
Ayton has pulled down at least 10 rebounds in 21-of-34 (61.8%) home games, so over 9.5 should have value up to -162. He’s also gone over 11 in five of his past 10 home games and we have him projected at 10.9 tonight, so over 10.5 should also be playable at standard juice.
Jazz PF Jae Crowder
THE PICK: Under 5.5 Rebounds (-155)
Crowder is averaging 4.8 rebounds in 27.0 minutes per game on the season, but he’s been afforded a few extra minutes of rest as of late as the Jazz gear up for a playoff run, averaging just 25.3 minutes per game over his last nine. The reduction in playing time has resulted in a corresponding dip in rebounding output to 4.1 per game for the eighth-year vet out of Marquette.
With LeBron James (rest) ruled out on the second night of a back-to-back, the Lakers are almost certain to provide the Jazz with a few extra rebounding opportunities. However, that’s offset by a probable reduction in playing time for the Jazz’s rotation regulars in a game in which Utah is a 16-point home favorite (see live odds here).
Crowder has failed to to five rebounds in 45-of-73 (61.6%) games this season, so under 5.5 should have value up to at least -160 before accounting for his recent reduction in minutes.
He’s also pulled down less than five rebounds in six of his past eight games and is projected for exactly four tonight, so under 4.5 should also be playable up to or slightly above standard juice.
I usually throw a few more prop picks in the Action Network App throughout the night as I do more research and lineup news trickles in, so be sure to follow me there as well.