The Oklahoma City Thunder (6-2) and Memphis Grizzlies (6-2) will square off in the NBA Cup tonight. Tipoff is set for 8:00 p.m. ET from FedExForum in Memphis, Tenn. The game will be broadcast live on NBA League Pass.
The Thunder are 3.5-point favorites over the Grizzlies on the spread, with the over/under set at 224.5 total points. The Thunder are -155 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Grizzlies are listed as +130 underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Thunder vs. Grizzlies predictions and NBA picks for Friday, November 6.
Thunder vs Grizzlies Prediction
- Thunder vs Grizzlies pick: Ajay Mitchell Over 18.5 Points (-125)
My Thunder vs. Grizzlies best bet is Ajay Mitchell to score over 18.5 points, with the best price currently available at DraftKings. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Thunder vs Grizzlies Odds
- Thunder vs Grizzlies spread: Thunder -3.5 (-102), Grizzlies +3.5 (-118)
- Thunder vs Grizzlies over/under: 224.5 (-113o / -107u)
- Thunder vs Grizzlies moneyline: Thunder -155, Grizzlies +130
Thunder vs Grizzlies NBA Preview
Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview
The Oklahoma City Thunder are navigating some notable injury issues right now, most notably playing without Jalen Williams. However, they are still operating as a very capable unit, currently sitting 12th in offensive efficiency.
With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander naturally drawing a massive amount of defensive attention—his points line is sitting at 32.5 tonight—the Thunder desperately need secondary scoring to keep the offense humming.
That responsibility has fallen squarely on the shoulders of Ajay Mitchell. In the five games without J-Dub, Mitchell has stepped up beautifully, averaging a robust 21.6 points per game with strong outings against quality defenses like Cleveland, Dallas, and Phoenix.
Memphis Grizzlies Betting Preview
The Memphis Grizzlies present an exploitable matchup tonight. They are playing at a top-10 pace, which naturally inflates the overall possession count, but they have been notably weak against pick-and-roll ball handlers all season long.
While they have Zach Edey stationed in the paint to clog up the rim, opposing guards don't necessarily need to get all the way to the basket to be successful against them.
We have consistently seen guards with strong mid-range and floater games torch this Memphis defense. Andrew Nembhard, Keyonte George, Darryn Peterson, and rookie Darius Acuff Jr. (who just dropped 38 points) have all thrived by operating in the intermediate gaps against the Grizzlies.
Thunder vs Grizzlies Pick, Betting Analysis
With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander drawing the opposing defense's best perimeter stopper, Mitchell should get plenty of usage and opportunity to create for himself.
Mitchell excels at getting into the paint and operating efficiently from the mid-range, which is exactly how you beat this Memphis defensive structure.
Since this is an NBA Cup game, I anticipate the Thunder will lean on a tightened, stable rotation because point differential matters.
The volume should be there, and Mitchell has proven he can comfortably shoulder the scoring load in J-Dub's absence.
Pick: Ajay Mitchell Over 18.5 Points (-125)
