Raptors vs. Magic Game 4 Betting Preview: Toronto Is Undervalued on the Road

Apr 21, 2019 12:07 AM EDT
Credit:

Tom Szczerbowski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Toronto Raptors forward Pascal Siakam (43)

Game 4 Betting Odds: Toronto Raptors at Orlando Magic

  • Spread: Raptors -5.5
  • Over/Under: 207
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT
  • Series Score: Raptors Lead 2-1

>> All odds as of Saturday night. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and live win probabilities on your bets.


After a surprising (maybe not so surprising) Game 1 loss, the Raptors have rebounded for two straight. Can they make it three? Our analysts discuss.

Betting Trends to Know

Did you know? The Magic are going through a scoring and shooting drought at the exact wrong time. In Games 2 and 3, Orlando shot below 40% from the field and under 30% from beyond the arc. That’s the first time this season the Magic have shot under both thresholds in consecutive games. – Evan Abrams

The Raptors survived a late scare from the Magic in Game 3 to take a 2-1 series lead but failed to cover the 5.5-point spread on the road — a common theme for Toronto in the playoffs.

In franchise history, the Raptors are 35-47-3 (42.7%) ATS in the playoffs and just 18-34-2 (34.6%) in the Kyle Lowry era (since 2013-14). Since that time, the Raptors are 3-9 ATS when listed as a favorite after a straight-up win in the playoffs, failing to cover the spread by 5.7 points per game. – Abrams

As Evan noted, the Raptors have struggled as favorites after a straight-up win in the playoffs, but that is a small sample. If we look at all playoff teams after a win that are favored on the road in their next matchup, they have gone 91-74-3 (55%) ATS since 2005. Bigger sample, better results … expect the Raptors to benefit from positive regression. – John Ewing


Locky: How I’m Betting Game 4

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