Warriors vs. Clippers Game 4 Betting Preview: Will Golden State Cover the Big Number?

Warriors vs. Clippers Game 4 Betting Preview: Will Golden State Cover the Big Number? article feature image

Photo credit: Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Draymond Green and Stephen Curry

Game 4 Betting Odds: Golden State Warriors at LA Clippers

  • Spread: Warriors -8.5
  • Over/Under: 235.5
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ABC
  • Series Score: Warriors Lead 2-1

>> All odds as of Saturday night. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and live win probabilities on your bets.

The Warriors will suit up for an early Game 4 after a weekend in L.A. Will they come out sluggish or put their foot down to claim this series? Our analysts dive in.

Betting Trends to Know

Golden State opened as 11-point favorites in L.A for Game 4. The Warriors are just the 21st team to be favored by 8.5 or more points on the road in the playoffs since 2005. The previous 20 teams went 17-3 straight-up and 15-4-1 ATS, covering by 5.5 points per game. – John Ewing

Did you know? Game 4’s over/under opened at 237 and currently sits at 235.5. This is the largest total in a postseason game since at least 2005. The previous high was 234, set by the Warriors and Clippers in Games 2 and 3. Both those overs hit, but the under had been 5-1 in all previous games that closed 230 or more. – Ewing

Road teams getting a slow start in Los Angeles: a tradition unlike any other. Since 2005, opponents are 37-49-3 (43%) against the first-half spread on the road against the Lakers or Clippers in the playoffs. When opponents make their first trip to L.A. (during the first four games of the series), they are just 24-36-1 (40%) against the first-half spread. – Evan Abrams

One of the most difficult tasks in the NBA is to perform on the road in the playoffs after winning the previous game. Since 2005, all teams are 48.1% ATS on the road after a playoff win. Under Steve Kerr, however, the Warriors are 17-10 (63%) ATS; he’s the most profitable coach since 2005 in this spot. – Abrams

Moore: The Los Angeles Angle

L.A. nightlife is undefeated.

It’s a mantra, it’s a slogan, it’s a catchphrase, it’s a thing. The Warriors aren’t just in L.A. — they’re in L.A. after having Friday night and Saturday night off in Los Angeles.

Now, they’re older. It may not be clubs and bottle service. It could just be nice meals and executive meetings. But there was a reason the Warriors wanted this matchup, and it had nothing to do with the Clippers. L.A. stealing Game 2 messed with this plan, waking the Warriors up. Ideally they would have gotten smacked in all three games, getting the Warriors’ interest down.

But we’ve seen the Warriors enough the last two years to know that they wake up, smack someone around and then go back to their nap. A red-eyed and belly-full Warriors team will have actual issues with the Clippers, and I’ve decided to go all in.

I can’t recommend the moneyline at +375 I got after the Clippers woke the Dubs’ ire with their 31-point comeback, but the +9 I still think is within play for a team that likely had itself a fun and engaging weekend off the court. The first-half line is my insurance bet. – Matt Moore

Locky: How I’m Betting Game 4

I’m not as completely all in on the Clippers as Matt is, but I do agree that I like this number a great deal. This game screams “Warriors close victory” to me, to be honest. Game 3 was a reaction to the Warriors’ absurd loss in Game 2; there is absolutely no way the Dubs, with all we know about them, comes out with the same edge, focus and energy they did in Game 3. That was the sending of a message, and there was intensity from the opening minutes. That’s not what this is.

And what we also know about the Warriors in this era is that they find a way to give away a road game in almost all of their series — or at least make one way closer than it needs to be.

Last year, it was being up 3-0 on a completely overmatched Spurs team and mailing in Game 4. It was a similar result against Houston a couple years before that in the first round. It was barely beating overmatched New Orleans in overtime on the road the year before that.

Consistent focus is just not going to be a thing with this bunch, but that’s OK because they’re the best team and they’re probably winning the title. As for Game 4, I would absolutely expect a less-focused, less-engaged Warriors bunch that can’t replicate what they did in Game 3. Now, they can still win, but I would consider a blowout unlikely. I’ll take L.A. — Ken Barkley

Editor’s note: The opinions on this game are from the individual writers and are based on their research, analysis and perspective. They are independent of, and may not always match with, the algorithm-driven Best Bets from Sports Insights.

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