Conway NCAA Regional Odds & Picks: How to Bet Coastal Carolina & Duke College Baseball

Conway NCAA Regional Odds & Picks: How to Bet Coastal Carolina & Duke College Baseball article feature image

Via Eakin Howard/Getty Images. Pictured: Luke Storm #34 of the Duke Blue Devils celebrates his home run against the Miami Hurricanes in the eighth inning during the ACC Baseball Championship at Durham Bulls Athletic Park on May 26, 2023 in Durham, North Carolina.

Conway Regional Odds

Coastal Carolina
UNC Wilmington

Check out Collin Wilson's full NCAA Baseball Tournament betting preview with bets for all 16 Regionals here.

Game 1: Duke (35-21) vs. UNCW (34-21) · 1 p.m. ET Friday · ESPN+
Game 2: Coastal Carolina (39-19) vs. Rider (35-19) · 7 p.m. ET Friday · ESPN+

Duke was in cruise control through the middle stretch of the ACC schedule, winning road series against Clemson and Boston College. With nonconference wins over Campbell and East Carolina, the Blue Devils were on fire before losing the final two series of the season.

Two one-run losses in the ACC Tournament knocked Duke back to a 2-seed, forcing it to pack suitcases for Conway and Regional host Coastal Carolina.

Starter Alex Gow is expected to get the start against Jacob Shafer of UNC Wilmington, projecting the Blue Devils at -210 for the opener. If closer James Tallon is not used against UNCW, expect a heavy dose of the freshman in the winners' bracket against Coastal Carolina.

James Tallon slams the door in the eighth!

😈 @jtallonbsbll

E8 | Duke 4, Miami 3 |

— Duke Baseball (@DukeBASE) May 19, 2023

The Chanticleers are expected to roll through Rider, but the price point will depend on who head coach Gary Gilmore selects as a starter. Liam Doyle has made five starts this season, as the freshman has an ERA and FIP lower than the staff average.

No matter how you slice the starting pitchers for Duke and Coastal Carolina, the Blue Devils bring the much better staff and bullpen numbers from a FIP, ERA and xFIP perspective. Duke has the better bullpen and the edge in starters, along with a superior defensive percentage.

The big question is if Coastal Carolina can continue to blast balls out of the park. The Chanticleers scored 12% more runs at Springs Brooks Stadium than on the road in conference play, suggesting there will be runs put up against the Blue Devils' staff.

The Regional is truly a toss-up between the top two seeds. If you're sitting on futures for either, as I'm sitting on a Coastal 100-1, taking the other team to win the Regional is a great hedge.

Keep in mind the Charlottesville Regional is paired up with Conway, so this group of eight teams has a higher percentage of sending an underdog to Omaha.

  • Game 1: Duke -185 or Better
  • Game 2: Rider Run Line
  • Series: Duke +150 or Better · Coastal Carolina 60-1 to Win CWS

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