Fayetteville Regional Odds & Picks: How to Bet Arkansas, TCU & Arizona in NCAA Baseball Tournament
Michael Wade/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Brady Slavens of Arkansas.
Fayetteville Regional Odds
Check out Collin Wilson's full NCAA Baseball Tournament betting preview with bets for all 16 Regionals here.
Game 1: Arkansas (41-16) vs. Santa Clara (35-18) · 3 p.m. ET Friday · ESPN+
Game 2: TCU (37-22) vs. Arizona (33-24) · 9 p.m. ET Friday ·ESPNU
I'm a frequent in-person consumer of Razorback baseball in Baum-Walker Stadium, and most are shocked to hear that the venue is a pitcher's park.
Arkansas is full of offensive firepower year in and year out but continues to play in higher-scoring ball games on the road. Baum-Walker not only has winds that generally move in from the Razorbacks' left-field bullpen, but it also has some of the deepest dimensions in left- and right-center field.
Arkansas consistently comes in lower than average in Park Factors, and facing Santa Clara's ace in the opener is a great opportunity for an under.
The biggest question for the Hogs is what head coach Dave Van Horn will do with southpaw aces Hunter Hollan and Hagen Smith. The ascension of freshman Gage Wood as closer has also moved Brady Tygart into a starting role.
Will Van Horn look to get five innings from Tygart in the Santa Clara game and hold Smith and Hollan for TCU similar to the LSU victory in the SEC Tournament? Van Horn made it clear in his presser that Arkansas took the early game to get in the clubhouse and get even more rest for the staff.
The under is the play in Game 1.
Hunter Hollan 6 Ks thru 5 shutout 👀👀 pic.twitter.com/NCIQ5YCpmg
— 11Point7: The College Baseball Podcast 🎙 (@11point7) March 24, 2023
The TCU pitching numbers are not great after starter Kole Klecker, as a trio of starters have an average ERA of 6.5. Even Klecker has an astronomical FIP compared to his 3.3 ERA.
The Horned Frogs will likely turn to Ben Abeldt to get out of the sticky situations that are sure to come against an Arizona team that finished 10th in slugging. Klecker projects as a -115 favorite over Arizona's Cam Walty, with a total projected at 13.5.
Expect Van Horn to use his starters in combination with an experienced postseason staff that includes Will McEntire to gear up for Saturday’s winners' bracket game.
Arkansas projects at -110 to win the Fayetteville Regional with Tygart starting Friday, but that number grows with Hollan and Smith throwing Friday or Saturday.
- Series: Arkansas +110 or Better
- Game 1: Arkansas vs. Santa Clara Under 11.5 or Better
- Game 2: Arizona +110 or Better