Nevada vs. Arizona St Odds & Betting Predictions - March 16, 2023
Nevada at Arizona St
1:15 am • truTVNevada at Arizona St Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nevada 17-16 | +2.5-110 | o135.5-110 | +115 | |
 Arizona St 13-19 | -2.5-110 | u135.5-110 | -135 | |
UD ArenaDayton
Nevada vs. Arizona St Expert Picks
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 65-68-1 (-12.2u)
ASU -140
1u
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 5-12-0 (+0.3u)
NEV +3-120
0.3u
+8 (Projection: NEV -6)
Pro Report +2 w $%
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 114-146-5 (+2.2u)
ASU -135
0.74u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 111-126-15 (-4.7u)
NEV +2-110
$110.00
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 41-25-3 (+24.6u)
ASU -2-105
1u
Over 135.5-105
2u
Dale Tanhardt
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 133-141
1.06u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 74-47-1 (+24.4u)
NEV +2.5-110
1.1u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NEV +2.5-110
1.1u
No love for the Mountain West but Arizona State Super streaky and will be a live dog at some point
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-1.0u)
NEV +2.5-110
1u
The Great Foosini
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 135.5-110
0.91u
NEV +2.5-110
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
K.Blackshear u13.5 Pts-115
1u
65% of his made baskets are in the paint/at the rim, and ASU shuts off the paint really well, with their opponents shooting ~6.5% below league average. In total, ASU allows the 29th fewest points via the 2P nationally (31). Where ASU struggles more is defending the three, but Blackshear has only made 18/64 of his threes this season. And Blackshear has only shot 37% in total away from home this season (averaging 12.7 ppg). Against arguably the toughest defense he’ll have faced this season, I like him to stay under.
Anders
Last 30d: 7-6-1 (+0.8u)
ASU -1.5-110
1u
took a few days ago
Green Dot Daily
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ASU -2.5-110
0.91u
#jimroot @threemanweave
Matthew Vincenzi
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NEV +2-110
1.1u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 223-243-6 (-4.7u)
NEV +2.5-110
1.1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 99-79-5 (+16.6u)
Under 62.5 (1H)-110
1.1u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 30-27-0 (+0.6u)
NEV +2.5-110
1.1u
BetMGM: Arizona St is a poor shooting team that leans on their defense (29th in KenPom efficiency) to keep them in games. They are very good at generating turnovers and rank 20th in eFG% allowed. However, Nevada turns it over at the 25th lowest rate and is one of the best FT shooting teams in the country at 79%. Arizona St tends to send their opponents to the FT line at a high rate which should backfire here
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 99-79-5 (+16.6u)
ASU -140
1u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 48-58-3 (+25.9u)
NEV +2.5-110
1.1u
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Lucas o2.5 3pt M+118
1u
DK - Projection: 2.6. For more, check out BettingPros.
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 2-5-0 (-3.8u)
ASU -2.5-110
1u
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 117-141-6 (+15.5u)
ASU -1-110
0.91u
Bet365 7:23 Sunday from @charliedisturco
Nevada vs. Arizona St Previews & Analysis
Nevada vs. Arizona St Notes
Bracket Predictions
As of the start of the First Four, the most likely team to make the Sweet 16 from this pod is No. 3 Gonzaga, with 57.8% odds.
Tournament Trends
Since 2002, two No. 11 seeds like Arizona State and Nevada have faced off in the First Four 16 previous times. The betting favorites in those games have gone 9-7 straight up (56.2% win rate, breakeven moneyline -129).
The underdogs have the better record against the spread, going 9-7 ATS (56.2% cover rate, average spread +2.4).
First Four games between No. 11 seeds have gone under the full game total 68.8% of the time (11-5, average over/under line 141.6).
No. 11 Arizona State has played in only five of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 3-5 straight up and 4-4 against the spread in eight total games.
No. 11 Nevada has played in seven of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 6-7 straight up and 6-7 against the spread in 13 total games.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Nevada vs. Arizona St Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Arizona St are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
- Arizona St are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Arizona St are 10-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Arizona St' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Arizona St' 18 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17-15 | 7-11 | 10-4 | 4-5 | 13-10 |
| 15-18 | 12-9 | 3-9 | 14-11 | 1-7 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16-16 | 10-8 | 6-8 | 5-4 | 11-12 |
| 16-17 | 11-10 | 5-7 | 11-14 | 5-3 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13-19 | N/A | N/A | 6-3 | 7-16 |
| 17-16 | N/A | N/A | 17-8 | 0-8 |
Last 5 Matchups
Arizona St vs. Nevada Injury Updates
Arizona St Injuries
- Adam MillerG
Miller is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
- Bobby HurleyG
Hurley is questionable with hip
Questionable
- Alston MasonG
Mason is questionable with illness
Questionable
Nevada Injuries
- K.J. HymesF
Hymes is questionable with back
Questionable
- Daniel FosterG
Foster is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
- Tre ColemanF
Coleman is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
- Chuck BaileyG
Bailey is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Team Stats
25-52 (48%)
Field Goals
35-55 (64%)
12-14 (86%)
Free Throws
17-24 (71%)
11-21 (52%)
3P
11-21 (52%)
23
Rebounds
26
19
Assists
21
11
Turnovers
5
3
Steals
5
0
Blocks
4
18
Fouls
17
Nevada vs. Arizona St Odds Comparison
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Nevada at Arizona St Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Nevada 17-16 | N/A | N/A |
Arizona St 13-19 | N/A | N/A |