2020 College Basketball Betting Power Ratings
Ethan Miller/Getty Images. Pictured: Westgate SuperBook
In the beginning of each week, I will provide a summary of my updated power ratings, which I update every night as needed after reviewing adjusted box scores. My model rates an average team at 50.0.
I will not only provide the raw data update, but also share the biggest movers of the week in each direction.
To create projected spreads based on the power ratings below, simply take the difference between the two power rating numbers and then add in home-court advantage if the game is not being played on a neutral court.
Home-court advantage can be worth anywhere from 1.5 to 5.0 points based on historical regression, in addition to a myriad of other factors (travel, elevation, etc.) that I consider. You’ll see others use different values when it comes to home-court advantage, but almost everybody would agree it’s diminishing across the board over time.
These power ratings are meant to serve as a starting point, as many other factors come into play before I ever pull the trigger on a bet, such as the matchups for a particular game and potential situational angles.
College Basketball Power Ratings
Subtract the higher-rated team’s power rating from the lower-rated team’s, then add home-court advantage (HCA), to create a point spread.