Arizona vs. Houston Odds, Opening Spread, Predictions for March Madness Sweet 16

Arizona vs. Houston Odds, Opening Spread, Predictions for March Madness Sweet 16 article feature image
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James Black/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Bennedict Mathurin (0) of the Arizona Wildcats.

Arizona vs. Houston Odds

Arizona Odds-2.5
Houston Odds+2.5
Over/Under145.5
Opening spread and over/under via FanDuel. Find more March Madness odds here.

After four days of madness, the 2022 NCAA Tournament rolls into the Sweet 16, where No. Higher Arizona will face No. Lower Houston. Find our expert's projected odds and more about how these teams match up below.

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Projected Arizona vs. Houston Odds

Projected Arizona Odds-4.5
Projected Houston Odds+4.5
Projected Over/Under142.5
March Madness projections as of Selection Sunday. Find the latest NCAA Tournament projections here.

Arizona vs. Houston Matchup Matrix

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Arizona and Houston match up statistically. Data via KenPom as of Sunday, March 13:

Arizona Offense vs. Houston Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
eFG%134
Turnover %12426
Rebound Rate13146
Free Throw Rate68287

Houston Offense vs. Arizona Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
eFG%448
Turnover %96213
Rebound Rate4194
Free Throw Rate23623

Pace of Play
Tempo7324
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More About Arizona

Charlie Disturco: One of the biggest surprises of this college basketball season has to be the dominance of Arizona in Year 1 of the Tommy Lloyd era.

The Wildcats' high-powered offense ranked first in adjusted efficiency and first in assist rate heading into the Pac-12 Tournament. They push tempo at all times as well as create a ton of second-chance opportunities, using their second-ranked height to dominate inside the paint. They can shoot the 3-ball well, too. Bennedict Mathurin is also the prototypical star player who will thrive in March, and the rest of the roster is deep and extremely talented.

Most teams have to adjust to their pace and win in a shootout — and there are very few that can match that physicality and speed.

Arizona is the class of the Pac-12. There’s not much you can critique about the Wildcats.

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More About Houston

Kyle Remillard: Houston finished 26-5 on the season and dismantled the rest of the AAC (with the exception of Memphis) by an average margin of 12 points per game, closing out the regular season with top-15 offensive and defensive efficiency rankings in the country.

The Cougars defense utilizes relentless pressure, holding opponents to just 44% from the field this season, good for sixth nationally as of writing. They also block shots at the highest rate in the AAC, which is one of the reasons they allowed just 61 points per game to conference foes heading into the conference tournament.

Offensively, the group has proven to be elite even without Marcus Sasser in the lineup. The Cougars feature a well-balanced scoring attack with all five starters averaging in double figures.

The offense assisted on 58% of its made field goals during the regular season and dominated in the paint, hitting 58% of its two-point attempts. The Cougars are relentless on the offensive glass, finding extended possessions at the fourth-highest rate in the country during the regular season.

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Doug Ziefel
May 14, 2024 UTC