The NBA All-Star break is a favorite time among wiseguys as recreational NBA bettors who don’t regularly wager on college basketball flood the market to satisfy that thirst for action. In fact, our internal betting data shows that today’s college basketball matchups are already getting much heavier action than what’s expected most mornings.

With this influx of public money hitting the market, oddsmakers react by shading their opening lines to the “public side” in anticipation that recreational bettors will overwhelmingly, and sometimes blindly, bet the favorites in most matchups.

This is music to the ears of sharp bettors, allowing them to pick off soft lines. That’s exactly what’s happening in one key 3:30 p.m. ET matchup this morning.

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