Florida vs Oklahoma Odds, Picks | Back the Gators?
Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images. Pictured: Colin Castleton (Florida)
Florida vs Oklahoma Odds
-108o / -112u
-108o / -112u
Both teams have had their fair share of experience at neutral sites this season, combining to play in seven games coming into Tuesday night.
In addition to this neutral-site experience, both teams bring momentum into this contest after convincing wins in their previous games.
Florida defeated Ohio by 34 points behind sophomore Kowacie Reeves scoring a career-high 20 points.
Florida shot an impressive 45.5% on three-point attempts against the Ohio Bobcats.
Star of the night: Kowacie Reeves Jr. (84th %ILE), putting up 20 points and 4 made threes off the bench. pic.twitter.com/sXtm0oG55m
— ShotQuality (@Shot_Quality) December 16, 2022
Oklahoma was able to bounce back from a 88-78 loss to Arkansas by taking care of business against Central Arkansas on Saturday.
The Sooners were led by Jacob Groves, who had a career-high 26 points in the victory.
These two offensive performances give both teams a lot to build on going into this non-conference game.
Florida’s non-conference schedule has seen the Gators fall short against their toughest opponents, while handling their business against teams outside of their talent bracket.
The Gators’ best win came against No. 146 Florida State. Meanwhile, they have dropped all four of their games to teams inside the top 40.
The Gators will need to buck this trend against a 8-3 Oklahoma team that ranks No. 38th nationally (KenPom).
In order to accomplish this, Florida will rely on Colin Castleton to give it an advantage in the post.
Castleton will have every opportunity to succeed against a Sooners frontcourt that’s allowing opponents to score 60.1% of their points from 2-point range. This level of interior scoring is the 11th-highest rate in the country.
This interior success should also open up the floor for the Gators to get consistent looks from the 3-point line.
So far this year, only 32.4% of Florida’s FGA’s have come from distance, resulting in just 28.4% of its total points.
As of late, the Gators have shot the ball much better from distance, including a season high 45.5% in their last outing against Ohio.
In order to keep up with an Oklahoma team that ranks 14th nationally in 3P% (39.9%), the Gators will need to have a two-pronged attack offensively.
Second-year head coach Porter Moser has to like the way the non-conference schedule has played out for Oklahoma.
During the month of November the Sooners were able to put together a six-game winning streak that included wins over Nebraska, Seton Hall and Ole Miss (all inside the top 100).
Much of this success has come behind one of the most efficient offenses in the country.
The Sooners rank third nationally in effective FG% (58.5%) due to a top-15 ranking in both 3P% and 2P%.
The one area that Oklahoma needs improvement in is on the glass.
Through 11 games, the Sooners have posted one of the lowest offensive rebounding rates in the country at just 21.6%.
These second-chance opportunities will continue to be hard to come by for the Sooners against a Florida team that is 33rd nationally in offensive rebounding percentage defense, allowing just 23.9% on average.
Florida vs. Oklahoma Betting Pick
In a game that features two highly-efficient offenses, every possession will be crucial in determining who comes away with the win.
Florida comes into this contest trending in the right direction from the 3-point line and has a notable advantage on the glass through the post play of Castleton.
I like the Gators to continue to roll and get their first marquee win of the season.
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