College Basketball Odds, Expert Picks & Prediction for Oregon vs. UCLA (Sunday, Dec. 4)
Photo by Leon Bennett/Getty Images. Pictured: N’Faly Dante #1 of the Oregon Ducks
- The Oregon Ducks take on the UCLA Bruins in Sunday afternoon PAC-12 college basketball action.
- The Bruins enter this matchup as big favorites, but instead of taking a side, we see betting value on the over/under.
- Check out Doug Ziefel's full betting guide and pick for Oregon vs. UCLA below.
Oregon vs. UCLA Odds
The Pac-12 takes center stage this evening as the Oregon Ducks head south to take on the UCLA Bruins. Each of these teams has taken on stout competition early this season, and both should be well prepared for this matchup.
Oregon has gone through quite the gauntlet of late. Three of their past five opponents have been ranked and the other two were Villanova and Washington State. While they went 2-3 in that stretch, the Ducks played well in each and could be poised to perform well again here.
As for the Bruins, their early season test has hampered public perception. Yes, this team is very talented, but their two losses are against the only ranked opponents they have played thus far.
Can the Ducks finally get the upset they’ve been looking for? Or will the Bruins make a statement? Let’s dive in and find out.
When you look at this Oregon team, the first thing that you notice is the size. The Ducks are the largest team in the country by average height, and those big men have been their top contributors.
N’Faly Dante is the Ducks leading scorer and has been an imposing presence in the paint. The 6’11” senior is coming off his best performance yet, having scored 22 points and grabbed seven boards against Washington State.
Although, he’s not alone. Dante and seven-foot freshman Kel’el Ware have become the Ducks’ twin towers down low. However, Ware is a part of the new generation of stretch fours and fives and isn’t afraid to pull up from behind the arc, instead of living around the rim.
Of course, we can’t forget to mention the leader of this team, Will Richardson. The senior guard has been excellent on both ends of the floor and has proven to be an effective scorer, facilitator and defender.
While the Ducks have diverse scoring options, the Bruins should be able to match up with each of them. Jalen Clark, one of the best defenders in the nation, can stay with Richardson while Adem Bona and Mac Etienne battle with the bigs down low.
Entering the season, I was high on this Bruins club as they have all the tools to become a title contender. They have senior leadership, excellent defenders and a pair of star freshmen joining the fold.
While they haven’t quite fired on all cylinders yet, there are many signs the Bruins are coming together. They have been humming on the offensive end of the floor as they rank sixth in adjusted offensive efficiency and 14th in effective field goal percentage.
Those numbers stem from a change in scheme from last season. Without Jonny Juzang, the Bruins no longer need to rely on the outside shot. As a result, they have gotten over 60% of their points from inside the arc and have converted many of those higher percentage looks.
Since they do not take nearly the same amount of outside shots as last year, their tempo has decreased significantly. The Bruins are 100th in average possession length, and the Ducks’ size could slow them down even more.
Look for UCLA to take its time, generate quality looks, and even get to the charity stripe. Oregon is 346th in free throw rate.
Oregon vs. UCLA Betting Pick
There’s no doubt the Ducks are underrated in this matchup. They have a significant size advantage that will impact both ends of the floor, and they are already battled tested.
Although, the Ducks hanging around in this game points to the under more than anything else. Their size will slow down the Bruins and likely disrupt UCLA in the early going.
On the other end of the floor, if the Bruins can disrupt the Ducks on the inside, they don’t have many other options.
Take the under in this conference matchup.
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